CARMILA Stock: Significant Weekly Decline at Technical Support Level
CARMILA shares continued their corrective movement over the week, significantly underperforming compared to the main French stock indices. The stock closed the week sharply lower, now trading at levels closely watched by technical analysts. This trend is part of a context of notable volatility observed across the stock market sector.
CARMILA stock ended the week at €15.82, down 9.29% over the period. This decline is part of a persistent negative trend for the stock, which shows a sliding performance of -9.60% over the year. This weekly decline is significantly more pronounced than that observed in the major French indices, with the CAC 40 depreciating by 1.27% over the week, while the SBF 120 fell by 1.30%. Over the course of 2025, CARMILA's performance thus lags behind the market, reflecting, among other things, a lack of appeal of the stock in the current context.
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From a technical standpoint, the stock closes at the support threshold identified at €15.82, after a bearish sequence that has brought it below its short and medium-term moving averages. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are currently at €17.04 and €17.40 respectively, illustrating the distance that currently separates the stock from its usual benchmarks. The environment remains characterized by a monthly volatility of 6.86%, while the Bollinger bands frame the stock between €15.95 (lower) and €17.71 (upper). The RSI indicator at 35 indicates persistent selling pressure on the stock, while the gap between the MACD Line (-0.25) and the neutral level underlines the persistence of weakness. The low beta of 0.14 indicates a moderate sensitivity of the stock to market variations over the period, even as the underlying trend is downward.
Carmila is confidently reiterating its objectives for 2026
Risks mentioned
No new supply and increasing scarcity of profitable spaces may limit future expansion opportunities
Interest rate sensitivity despite current full hedging in 2026-2027, potentially impacting cost of capital for future acquisitions
Retail market concentration in Western Europe and exposure to economic downturn affecting footfall and retailer demand
Opportunities identified
Accretive acquisition of Grand Quetigny (Dijon) generating rental uplift and innovation-based revenues leveraging Carmila's asset management expertise
Rising retailer demand and occupancy expansion (96.0%, +70 bps) supporting sustainable rental revenue growth across three countries
Innovation-driven revenues (Specialty leasing, Retail media, Next Tower, Marketing services) from 620 million annual visits
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Carmila is confidently reiterating its objectives for 2026 and expects to generate recurring earnings per share of €1.87.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
