Carrefour Stock Climbs 3.5% and Reaches Back to Its 50-Day Moving Average
The retailer ranks at the top of the CAC 40 at midday, going against a generally stable Parisian index. The stock benefits from an upgraded rating from a major Anglo-Saxon brokerage firm, reinforcing its recent momentum.
RBC Capital Upgrades to Outperform, Sets Target at €22
Carrefour stock is up 3.58% at €16.49 during the session, placing it among the highest gains in the CAC 40, which itself is up by 0.43%. This movement follows an upgrade by RBC Capital to 'outperform' with a price target set at €22. Relative to the current price, this target represents a theoretical potential of about 33%. According to the consensus of analysts surveyed, the stock is trading at approximately 9.5 times the earnings expected for the current fiscal year. The stock thus resumes its upward momentum after the declines at the end of June, following the announcement on July 1st of the completion of the divestiture of its Romanian operations, accompanied by the payment of an exceptional dividend of €150 million.
Stock Reaches Back to Its 50-Day Moving Average After a 3.5% Rebound
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Technically, the rebound brings the price back to its 50-day moving average at €16.51, a benchmark that had been lost mid-June during the downturn following doubts expressed by JP Morgan. The stock is now significantly above its 200-day moving average (€14.85), with a gap of 11%, confirming the underlying bullish trend visible in the performance over a year (+34.28%). The RSI at 45 remains in the neutral zone, with no signs of excess at this stage, while the resistance identified at €16.73 is the next chartist reference, less than 1.5% from the price. A breakthrough would pave the way for a test of recent highs.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
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