Carrefour Stock: Shares Bounce Back After Solid Annual Results and a Strategic Partnership
Carrefour shares saw significant gains this Thursday, February 19, following the release of its 2025 annual results and the announcement of a digitalization agreement with Vusion. The stock traded at 14.93 euros midday, up 1.91% from the previous day. This momentum is part of a three-month upward trajectory, with a performance increase of over 15%.
Annual Financial Results and Strategic Partnership
The retailer unveiled its 2025 annual accounts on Monday, reporting a 2.8% increase in like-for-like sales. France and Spain were the main drivers of this growth, while the integration of Cora and Match stores and strategic geographical decisions helped to strengthen the group's operational profile. In this context, AlphaValue bank raised its price target from 15.30 to 16.10 euros, maintaining a 'reduce' recommendation. This new target implies a potential upside of about 7.8% from Carrefour's current price. Concurrently, the group announced a strategic partnership with Vusion aimed at digitalizing all its hypermarkets and supermarkets in France by 2030, as part of the 'Carrefour 2030' plan. This technological alliance, described as one of the largest in Europe in the retail sector, aims to accelerate the digital transformation of the French distributor's network.
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From a technical standpoint, the stock is trading above its main moving averages, indicating a favorable medium-term trend. The current price of 14.93 euros is significantly above the 50-day moving average of 14.26 euros, and even more so above the 200-day average of 13.23 euros, reflecting a bullish momentum established over several weeks. The RSI, an indicator measuring the speed and magnitude of price movements, stands at 63, indicating buying pressure without signaling an overbought zone. The nearest resistance level is at 15.66 euros, approximately 4.9% above the current price: crossing this threshold could lead to a new phase of appreciation. Meanwhile, monthly volatility remains contained at 7.78, and the stock's beta of 0.18 shows low sensitivity to overall market fluctuations. The annual performance of the stock is 10.17%, in a context where the group continues its strategic reshuffling between European consolidation and geographic portfolio reallocation.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.