Danone's Stock Rises 1.68% at Close Following Bernstein's Upgrade

Danone's stock closed on Thursday, January 8, at 76.20 euros, up 1.68% from the previous day, with a trading volume representing 0.24% of the capital. This rebound follows Bernstein's upgrade from market perform to outperform, raising the price target from 83 to 92 euros, representing a potential increase of 20% from the current price. The stock has regained its momentum after three consecutive red sessions from January 2 to January 6, during which it had lost 2.16% on Monday, January 5. This recovery occurs while the stock is still 0.89 euro below its 50-day moving average set at 77.09 euros, but remains above its 200-day moving average at 73.77 euros, confirming an underlying bullish trend. The RSI stands at 36, in a neutral to moderately depressed zone, suggesting no technical overheating and leaving room for further movement if volumes continue. Over three months, the dairy giant has shown a solid performance of 5.63%, driven by what investors deem rigorous operational execution.

Bernstein justifies its optimism by estimating that 2025 was a mixed year for European consumer goods companies, but its base scenario for 2026 anticipates similar growth, in the range of 3 to 5%. The broker considers the sector to be generally fairly valued, but identifies room for improvement at Danone despite the strong performance in 2025. The median analyst consensus points to a price target of 79 euros, lower than Bernstein's new target but confirming moderate upside potential. Fundamentally, Danone benefits from increased visibility thanks to its geographical reorganization and share buyback programs, including one of 3.8 million shares announced in early December to offset dilution related to employee share ownership in 2026. The next key event for investors will be the publication of the annual 2025 results, expected on February 20, which will confirm whether or not the group can transform its operational momentum into sustainable value generation for shareholders.