Dassault Aviation Shares Drop 2% but Maintain +18% Yearly Gain
The stock of the French aerospace manufacturer fell more than 2% on Tuesday, April 7, in a generally declining Paris market. At 329.80 euros, Dassault Aviation is trading lower than its last closing on Thursday at 336.60 euros, while still showing a notable increase of 5.3% over the past seven days.
The decline of Dassault Aviation is part of a broader pullback observed in the Parisian market. The CAC 40 is down 0.48% during the session, while the SBF 120 shows a similar decline. Among comparable stocks, Airbus is down 1.91% and Schneider Electric has fallen by 1.36%, illustrating widespread pressure on major French industrial capitalizations. Despite today's dip, the stock maintains an upward trajectory over a broader horizon, with a performance of 13.1% over three months and nearly 18% over one year. The general meeting of shareholders, scheduled for May 13, followed by the publication of the half-year results expected on July 22, are upcoming events that could influence trading activity.
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Technically, the price of 329.80 euros is slightly below its 50-day moving average of 332.52 euros and its 20-day moving average of 333.40 euros, after having briefly approached them during last week's rebound. The 200-day moving average, positioned at 294.40 euros, remains significantly below the current price, confirming that the underlying trend continues to be upward. The RSI, at 53, indicates a balanced situation without excess, neither in overbought nor oversold zones. Within the Bollinger Bands, the stock is positioned at 43% of the amplitude between the lower bound (307.36 euros) and the upper bound (359.44 euros), corroborating the absence of marked technical tension. The support level to watch is at 310 euros, while the nearest resistance is at 353.40 euros.
Le Rafale a confirmé son succès en 2025, avec la livraison du 300 ème Rafale et la commande de 26 Rafale par la Marine indienne.
Dassault Aviation présente des résultats 2025 conformes à l’évolution attendue: chiffre d’affaires consolidé IFRS de 7 426 millions d’euros, résultat opérationnel consolidé IFRS de 639 millions d’euros, résultat net consolidé IFRS de 977 millions d’euros et marge nette consolidée IFRS de 13,2%. Trésorerie disponible à 9 415 millions d’euros. Carnet de commandes consolidé à 46 596 millions d’euros et ratio book-to-bill de 1,5x. Dividendes proposés de 4,78 euros par action (payout d’environ 35%). Pour 2026, le chiffre d’affaires est anticipé autour de 8,5 milliards d’euros avec 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale prévus.
Risks mentioned
Incertitudes liées aux contextes militaires, géopolitiques et budgétaires, couplés aux droits de douane et à l’incertitude sur le SCAF.
Pression fiscale dégrade la compétitivité de la Société.
Incertitudes liées au droit de douane américain au 1er semestre 2025 et à l’évolution du Make in India.
Opportunities identified
Progression possible grâce au Make in India et à la coopération avec des partenaires indiens (DRAL, Tata Advanced Systems).
Poursuite du développement et de la modernisation des programmes Rafale/Falcon et du SCAF, ARCHANGE et ALBATROS; potentiel d’accroître les exports.
Partenariats pour une IA souveraine et maîtrisée avec AMIAD, Thales (cortAIx) et Harmattan AI.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8,5 milliards d'euros (2026)
Management commentary: La prévision pour 2026 prévoit un chiffre d’affaires en hausse par rapport à 2025, à 8,5 milliards d’euros, soutenu par les livraisons prévues de Rafale et Falcon (40 Falcon et 28 Rafale).
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
