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Derichebourg Stock: 3.6% Rebound This Friday Morning

The stock of the recycling and public services specialist showed a 3.6% increase at the opening this Friday, October 10, reaching 6.0450 euros. This rise is part of a rebound movement initiated over the past week, with the stock having increased by nearly 8% over the last seven days. Trading volumes remain moderate, with only 0.12% of the capital having changed hands, a level that reflects limited investor participation in this upward movement.


Derichebourg Stock: 3.6% Rebound This Friday Morning

Recovery After a Challenging September

This recovery comes after a particularly difficult September for the group. On September 3, Derichebourg experienced a nearly 18% drop in session after revising its Ebitda target for the fiscal year 2024-2025 downwards, from 350 million euros to a range between 300 and 310 million euros. The company then cited the adverse impact of US tariffs on steel, aluminum, and copper, set at 50%, as well as a weakening of the dollar against the euro which weighed on raw material prices and affected its margins. The stock then touched a low point at 4.75 euros before beginning a gradual rebound. Since then, a potentially favorable element has emerged for the group's outlook. At the end of September, the European Commission announced its intention to impose tariffs ranging from 25% to 50% on Chinese steel in the coming weeks, in order to counter the pressure on steel prices in Europe. This measure could directly benefit Derichebourg, with more than half of its consolidated Ebitda coming from the resale of scrap metal. As the price of scrap is aligned with that of primary steel, a limitation of Chinese imports could support prices and improve the group's profitability in its metal recycling activity.

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From a technical standpoint, the stock is approaching its technical resistance located at 6.06 euros, a threshold it is currently testing after having crossed its 50-day moving average established at 5.64 euros. This recent upward dynamic is also reflected by a favorable momentum indicator: the MACD, which measures the convergence and divergence of moving averages, shows a positive value at 0.05 and is now above its signal line at -0.04, signaling a short-term trend reversal. The MACD histogram at 0.09 confirms this buying impulse, although it remains modest. However, this rapid progression places the stock in a marked overbought zone. The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, reaches 86, a level significantly above the threshold of 70 generally considered indicative of technical overheating. This positioning suggests that the stock may experience a phase of consolidation in the short term, especially as the stochastic indicators are already emitting a sell signal. The price also moves above the upper bound of its Bollinger bands set at 5.88 euros, reinforcing the idea of a temporary extension of the bullish movement. With a beta of 0.12, Derichebourg shows very low sensitivity to variations in the CAC 40, which is up 0.28% this morning, demonstrating a largely decoupled evolution from the Parisian index.



Sector Environnement / recyclage · Services aux entreprises · Services aux collectivités Gestion des déchets


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2024-2025
Guidance from the release
  • C’est finalement un bel exercice, avec toutes les activités qui contribuent positivement au résultat. L’amélioration du résultat net est spectaculaire, grâce à l’ampleur du retournement réussi chez Elior Group.
  • Bonne résistance de l'activité malgré des prix bas des ferrailles et une baisse des volumes; amélioration des marges unitaires et forte contribution d'Elior; perspectives soutenues par mesures réglementaires européennes et nouveaux investissements.
Risks mentioned
  • Baisse des prix moyens des ferrailles et pression sur les volumes
  • Faible demande dans les secteurs automobile et construction en Europe
  • Visibilité réduite en contexte de bas de cycle
Opportunities identified
  • Amélioration de la contribution d'Elior Group
  • Entrée en vigueur du mécanisme d’ajustement carbone aux frontières et réforme des quotas/droits de douane favorisant la production locale
  • Mise en production de la nouvelle ligne de grenaillage de câbles en Espagne
  • Décarbonation des sites sidérurgiques en Europe susceptible d'augmenter la demande de ferrailles

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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