Edenred Shares Climb Nearly 3%, Marking a Third Month of Gains
Midday sees Edenred shares continuing their upward trend in a balanced Parisian market. The employee payment solutions specialist continues its spring recovery, supported by a new favorable analyst review and a continuous easing of short positions.
Morgan Stanley Raises Target to €34, Fueling Today's Movement
Edenred shares are up 2.81% at €25.58 during the session, leading the SBF 120. The stock benefits from the latest Morgan Stanley review, which upgrades to 'overweight' with a target set at €34, representing a potential of nearly 33% above the current price. The recovery that began several weeks ago is accompanied by a significant reduction in short bets: according to collected statements, six funds cumulatively hold 4.82% of the capital sold short, down from 8.88% a month ago (-4.06 points in thirty days). This decline reflects a gradual covering of short positions, without completely erasing the skepticism accumulated earlier in the year. The movement remains to be monitored over time, as the stock has already experienced significant volatility since the acquisition rumors in June.
Stock Remains Above Its Three Moving Averages, RSI at 66
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In terms of indicators, today's rise further widens the already significant gap to the moving averages: the price is 10.83% above the MM20 (€23.08) and nearly 27% above the MM200 (€20.12). An RSI at 66 indicates a sustained buying momentum, without yet tipping into overbought territory. The progress reaches 23.16% over one month and 37.05% over three months, an acceleration that brings the stock closer to its identified resistance at €27.20. Conversely, the performance over one year remains slightly negative (-1.99%), recalling the magnitude of the correction suffered at the end of 2025. The potential crossing of €27.20 will be the next technical milestone to observe in the case.
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Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.