FDJ United Shares Edge Up 2.09% to Close at 23.50 Euros
On Tuesday, January 20, FDJ United's stock closed up 2.09% at 23.50 euros, with moderate trading volumes representing 0.44% of the capital traded. The stock is moving while the company has entered a quiet period since Monday, January 19, ahead of the publication of its annual 2025 results scheduled for February 19 before market open. The stock remains under pressure after a decline of more than 33% over the year, in an environment marked by target price revisions and strategic adjustments following the acquisition of Kindred.
The stock has shown a challenging market trajectory with recent analyst recommendations reflecting mixed opinions. Bernstein significantly reduced its target price on January 13, from 37.50 euros to 25.60 euros, while maintaining a market performance recommendation. This new target suggests an upside potential of 8.9% from the closing price of the day. JP Morgan maintains a cautious stance with an underweight recommendation issued at the beginning of December, without communicating a target price. This divergence of opinions reflects uncertainties related to the integration of Kindred and increasing tax pressures, particularly in France where a new tax on gross gaming revenue is impacting margins. The gambling operator faces structural challenges that explain the caution of analysis offices, despite a dominant position in the French market.
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From a technical standpoint, FDJ United is in a still hesitant configuration. The RSI is at 43, in a neutral zone, suggesting a lack of clear directional signal in the short term. The stock is approaching its 50-day moving average at 23.50 euros, a level it has just reclaimed in session and which could serve as a technical pivot in the coming days. The immediate resistance is at 23.62 euros, while support is found at 22.68 euros, delineating a relatively narrow trading range. The one-month volatility remains contained at 3.50, indicating a relative stability in trading despite the downward trend observed over several months. The stock remains far from its 200-day moving average at 28.21 euros, confirming a bearish underlying dynamic that requires a change in momentum to consider a sustainable rebound.
SectorLoisirs / sport · Jeux d'argent / casinos›Casinos et jeux d'argent
Context
Period
Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
L’évolution du chiffre d’affaires à fin septembre reflète le recul des paris et jeux en ligne sur certains marchés et l’impact de l’augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux ; le Groupe approfondit son plan de transformation et de performance dès 2025.
9M 2025 : CA publié 2 730 M€ (+30,2 % publié) ; à données retraitées -2,1 % en raison notamment de l’intégration Kindred et des hausses de fiscalité. T3 2025 : CA 864 M€ (-3,0 % à données retraitées). PBJ et PNJ en léger retrait ; impacts fiscaux (21 M€ au T3, dont 18 M€ en France) et durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni affectent la BU Paris et jeux en ligne. Objectifs 2025 précisés : CA > 3,7 Mds€, EBITDA courant ~900 M€, marge EBITDA > 24 %.
Risks mentioned
Augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux (France, Pays-Bas, Roumanie) impactant le chiffre d’affaires
Durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni
Résultats sportifs défavorables affectant les paris sportifs
Intégration / périmètre post-acquisition (Kindred) et comparables retraités
Opportunities identified
Déploiement des plateformes propriétaires (KSP) et migrations terminées au Royaume?Uni
Lancements commerciaux (32Red en Roumanie, relancement d’Otto Casino en Suède) et nouveau jackpot trans-marchés
Plan de performance 2025-2028 visant à réduire les coûts
Politique de dividende attractive avec distribution d’au moins 75 % du résultat net ajusté
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