FDJ United Shares Hit Lowest Since Covid Crash, Below €21
FDJ United continues its downturn, reaching a new low since the pandemic crash. The gambling sector remains under selling pressure in a declining Parisian market mid-session.
A New Historical Low Broken Below the Covid €20.64
FDJ United shares fell by 2.9% to €20.78 in early afternoon trading and touched €20.61 during the session, breaking for the first time the floor of €20.64 reached during the stock market collapse of March 2020 amid the health crisis. The downward breach of the €21.40 support, already tested at the end of May, accelerates the slide that began in the spring, with the stock down nearly 17% over three months. The RSI dropped to 26, indicating seller exhaustion in this sequence, as the price moves more than 15% below its 200-day moving average. The stock is among the lowest in the SBF 120, an index itself down by 0.82%.
Bearish Bets Remain High Despite Slight Pullback Over a Month
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According to reviewed statements, five funds hold a net short position of 7.24% of FDJ United's capital, a high level that reflects a sustained selling stance on the stock. This aggregate has slightly decreased by 0.44 point from 7.68% over a month, indicating partial coverage without a real trend reversal. This context of distrust should be monitored carefully: it reveals a cautious view from institutional investors, without necessarily indicating a sudden shift.
Regarding valuation, the stock is trading at approximately 8.8 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year according to the consensus of surveyed analysts, with an expected earnings per share growth of 14.7% next year. The company also joined the S&P Global Sustainability Yearbook on June 24, with a CSA score of 55. The €20.64 support inherited from the health crisis becomes the next chartist reference.
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Context
Period
Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
L’évolution du chiffre d’affaires à fin septembre reflète le recul des paris et jeux en ligne sur certains marchés et l’impact de l’augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux ; le Groupe approfondit son plan de transformation et de performance dès 2025.
9M 2025 : CA publié 2 730 M€ (+30,2 % publié) ; à données retraitées -2,1 % en raison notamment de l’intégration Kindred et des hausses de fiscalité. T3 2025 : CA 864 M€ (-3,0 % à données retraitées). PBJ et PNJ en léger retrait ; impacts fiscaux (21 M€ au T3, dont 18 M€ en France) et durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni affectent la BU Paris et jeux en ligne. Objectifs 2025 précisés : CA > 3,7 Mds€, EBITDA courant ~900 M€, marge EBITDA > 24 %.
Risks mentioned
Augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux (France, Pays-Bas, Roumanie) impactant le chiffre d’affaires
Durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni
Résultats sportifs défavorables affectant les paris sportifs
Intégration / périmètre post-acquisition (Kindred) et comparables retraités
Opportunities identified
Déploiement des plateformes propriétaires (KSP) et migrations terminées au Royaume?Uni
Lancements commerciaux (32Red en Roumanie, relancement d’Otto Casino en Suède) et nouveau jackpot trans-marchés
Plan de performance 2025-2028 visant à réduire les coûts
Politique de dividende attractive avec distribution d’au moins 75 % du résultat net ajusté
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.