Hermès International closed this Wednesday, January 7, at 2,101 euros, down 1.91% from the previous day when it was at 2,142 euros. This decline is part of a consolidation movement after several unsuccessful attempts to break through the resistance threshold of 2,165 euros. Trading volumes remained moderate with only 0.06% of the capital changing hands, reflecting a certain caution among investors. Over the week, the leather goods maker now shows a decline of 0.99%, continuing a hesitant trend observed over the past three months with a slight decrease of 0.33%. Over the year, the performance remains negative at -9.77%, with the stock significantly below its 200-day moving average positioned at 2,228.42 euros. This gap of more than 100 euros with this long-term technical reference illustrates the difficulty of the stock price to regain its upward momentum.
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The RSI at 52 points indicates a neutral zone, with no signs of overbuying or overselling, leaving room for a lack of clear direction in the short term. The price moves between the Bollinger bands, ranging from 2,072.61 euros in support to 2,166.49 euros in resistance, with still an open space for fluctuation. The immediate proximity of the major support threshold at 2,082 euros, located less than 1% from the current price, represents a critical level to closely monitor in the upcoming sessions. Investment flows remain negative, as evidenced by the CMF at -0.21, indicating persistent selling pressure. Analysts maintain contrasting price targets: Deutsche Bank aims for 2,400 euros with a buy recommendation, while HSBC remains more cautious at 2,250 euros with a hold advice. These valuations suggest a theoretical upside potential of between 7% and 14% from the current price, but the confirmation of a technical turnaround remains awaited by the market.
Le modèle Hermès, fondé sur une distribution exclusive et qualitative, a une nouvelle fois porté ses fruits. Hermès aborde l’année 2026 avec confiance.
Résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d’affaires de 16 002 millions d’euros, croissance à taux constants de 8,9 % et croissance à taux courants de 5,5 %. Résultat opérationnel courant de 6 569 millions d’euros (41,0 % du chiffre d’affaires) et résultat net de 4 524 millions d’euros. Cash flow disponible ajusté de 3 880 millions d’euros; trésorerie nette retraitée à 12 773 millions d’euros. Propositions de dividendes et actions nouvelles pour 2026, avec un accent sur le développement et l’emploi.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires 2026 est attendu en progression à taux constants sans chiffre précis communiqué.
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé dans le communiqué.
Expected net income: Non précisé dans le communiqué.
Management commentary: Perspectives positives pour 2026, grâce au modèle d’entreprise intégré et à la fidélité de la clientèle, malgré un contexte économique et géopolitique incertain.
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