InPost Shares Drop 6.51% Mid-Day After Buyout Potential Euphoria
InPost shares fell 6.51% on Wednesday, January 7th, mid-day, dropping to 13.92 euros after peaking at 14.89 euros the previous day. This correction follows a spectacular surge triggered by the announcement of an indicative offer to purchase all shares of the Polish automated parcel locker specialist. Despite this decline, the stock still shows a remarkable increase of 33.46% over seven days and 30.58% over three months, partially offsetting losses accumulated over the past year, which still amount to 19.91%. Trading volumes remain limited to 0.35% of the capital, reflecting investors' anticipation of the details of this operation which remain unknown.
Initial Surge Following Acquisition Proposal
InPost revealed on Tuesday that it had received an indicative proposal for the acquisition of all its shares, without disclosing the identity of the potential buyer or guaranteeing the completion of the transaction. This announcement had propelled the stock up by 20% during Tuesday's session, extending an 11% gain recorded on Monday. On Wednesday, the stock experienced a natural correction, falling by 6.51% to settle at 13.92 euros from 14.89 euros the day before. This volatility occurs in a special context for the group, which had lost 37% in 2024 and reached its lowest level in two years in November. The downward revision of the annual guidance in November 2025, attributed to increased investments in the UK for the integration of the delivery company Yodel, had weighed on investor sentiment. A special committee composed of members of the supervisory board and the board of directors is currently examining all aspects of this potential transaction. The main shareholder, PPF Group, holds 28.75% of the capital, while the founder Rafal Brzoska controls 12.49% through A&R Investments.
Technical Indicators Highlight Overbought Conditions
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reaches an exceptionally high level of 90, well beyond the overbought threshold of 70. This situation reflects massive buying concentrated over a very short period and usually signals an imminent consolidation phase, which today's decline seems to confirm. The RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price movements: a level of 90 indicates that buyers have overwhelmingly dominated, making a pause or technical pullback likely. However, the MACD still confirms the underlying bullish momentum, with a MACD line at 0.58 euro positioned well above the signal line at 0.24 euro, and a positive histogram of 0.34 euro. This momentum indicator remains favorably oriented despite today's correction. The price moves well above its moving averages: the MM50 at 10.30 euros and the MM200 at 11.20 euros remain distant, confirming the structural trend reversal that has begun. The Bollinger Bands, which normally frame the course between 8.34 euros and 12.65 euros, are widely exceeded by the current level, illustrating the exceptional nature of this movement.
High Volatility and Uncertainty Surrounding the Acquisition
The monthly volatility of the stock jumps to 27.06%, reflecting the amplitude of movements caused by the buyout announcement. This high level indicates the uncertainty surrounding the operation, with no guarantee of completion provided. The negative beta coefficient at -0.08 indicates an almost total decorrelation with the market, as InPost operates according to its own dynamics independently of European indices. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) at 0.33 signals positive money flows, suggesting that buyers remain present despite the correction. However, traded volumes remain moderate at 0.35% of the capital, showing persistent investor caution pending further details on the proposal. The group's market capitalization is now around 6.8 billion euros. The new resistance threshold is set at 14.89 euros, reached on Tuesday, while support appears at 9.34 euros. The outcome of this potential operation will determine the future trajectory of the stock, which remains technically fragile in the short term despite the spectacular rebound of the week.
