MedInCell Stock: Marked Decline of Over 3% at the Start of the Week
MedInCell shares fell by 3.52% this Monday, February 16, to 24.14 euros, amid a three-month correction period. The price is now significantly below its short-term moving averages, although the Montpellier-based biotech still maintains a largely positive annual performance.
MedInCell shares are currently trading below their 50-day moving average, which stands at 25.69 euros, indicating a short-term bearish dynamic. This gap, combined with an RSI positioned at 35 — a zone signaling a stock approaching oversold conditions —, illustrates the selling pressure that has been present for several weeks. Over three months, the decline has reached 20.7%, erasing a significant portion of the gains accumulated over a year (+72.43%). The most relevant technical support is at 22.56 euros, close to the 200-day moving average (22.40 euros). This threshold represents a pivotal area: a downward breach could indicate a more lasting trend reversal, while maintaining above this level would preserve the long-term bullish structure.
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Beyond market dynamics, the coming months are crucial for the company specialized in long-duration injection technologies. The financial calendar schedules the publication of the annual results for the fiscal year 2025-2026 on June 16, followed by the general meeting scheduled for September 10, 2026. These events will provide concrete details on the commercial progress and profitability outlook of the group. MedInCell, which develops injectable formulations for extended release of active ingredients, has seen strong revaluation over the year, particularly driven by advances in its product portfolio. The monthly volatility, measured at 22.33%, remains high, reflecting the extent of movements the stock is subjected to. The negative beta of -0.09 also indicates an almost total decoupling from the reference index, a common characteristic of biotechnological stocks whose evolution primarily depends on company-specific catalysts.
We are pleased with the company’s growth and momentum.
Total income €14,1 million; Revenues €11,6 million (+35 %); UZEDY® royalties €4,2 million; Operating result €(6,6) million (improved 13 % year-over-year); Net result €(16 078) thousand; Cash and low-risk financial investments €53,5 million (incl. €49,8 million cash and €3,7 million low-risk investments); Net financial debt €17 629 thousand; NDA for Olanzapine LAI submitted to FDA on December 9, 2025; AbbVie partnership advancing with regulatory package expected in 2026.
Risks mentioned
Foreign exchange risk: weakness of USD vs EUR impacted revenues and generated ~€1 million FX losses
Dependency on partner commercialization (Teva) for UZEDY® royalties and sales forecasts
Regulatory risk: approvals (e.g., Olanzapine LAI) and acceptance for review uncertain
Financial volatility linked to fair value revaluation of EIB BSA warrants (non-cash €6,8 million impact)
Opportunities identified
Olanzapine LAI: NDA submitted and potential launch could be a major growth catalyst
UZEDY®: upward revision of 2025 net sales forecast by Teva (from $160 million to $190-200 million)
AbbVie partnership: first program advancing toward first-in-human trials (regulatory package expected 2026)
Gates Foundation financing: new $3 million envelope to advance mdc-STM malaria program
Expanded geographic approvals (Canada, South Korea) supporting broader commercialization
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