Nexity Shares Fall to €8.47 Amid Short Selling Pressure
The real estate developer is down 3.31% at €8.47 midday this Friday, May 15, in a pressured Parisian market. The SBF 120 is down 1.34% during the session, the CAC 40 1.36%. The stock erases the previous day's rebound in just a few hours and falls below its 20-day moving average.
A Fall Below the 20-Day Moving Average Sends the Stock to the Lower Bollinger Band
At €8.47, Nexity falls below its 20-day moving average (€8.70), with a negative gap of 2.59%. The stock also remains 7.78% below its 200-day average (€9.19), confirming a medium-term bearish orientation. Only the 50-day moving average, at €8.39, remains slightly below the current price. The price is in the lower part of the Bollinger Bands, at 27% of the amplitude, with a lower bound at €8.20 and a support identified at €7.94. The RSI at 54 remains neutral, showing no signs of exhaustion. Yesterday's session had allowed a significant rebound to €8.76, as mentioned in Thursday's movement, which was completely erased during the session.
Selling Pressure Confirmed Six Days Before the General Meeting on May 21
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According to reviewed statements, the cumulative net short positions on the stock reach 3.22% of the capital, distributed among four funds. The level has increased by 0.37 percentage points in a month. Marshall Wace (0.98%), Citadel Advisors (0.93%), and AQR Capital Management (0.81%) are among the main declarants, with the latest update dated May 11. The session context remains unfavorable, with Brent at $109.11 (+2.36% over 24 hours) fueling nervousness in the Parisian market. Kaufman and Broad, another player in real estate development, is down 1.59%. The next important date for the stock is the annual general meeting scheduled for May 21, 2026.
SectorImmobilier / construction · Opérateurs immobiliers›Construction résidentielle
Context
Period
Period: 9M2025
Guidance from the release
L’activité commerciale de Nexity continue de s’améliorer au 3ème trimestre ... renouer avec une croissance rentable dès 2025.
Fin du dispositif Pinel entraînant une forte baisse des investisseurs particuliers (-45 %) ; accédants en forte progression (+26 % pour Nexity sur 9M) soutenus par l’extension du PTZ et des taux stabilisés autour de 3,1 % ; marché tertiaire en bas de cycle avec livraisons 2024 impactant le CA tertiaire 2025 ; backlog à 3,9 Md€ (?1,5 année d’activité).
Risks mentioned
Dégradation de l’environnement macro-économique (guidance conditionnelle)
Risque lié aux municipales ralentissant l’instruction des permis de construire
Baisse du marché de détail liée à la fin du Pinel (-45 % investisseurs particuliers)
Segment tertiaire en bas de cycle et absence de rechargement du backlog tertiaire
Opportunities identified
Extension du PTZ favorisant la demande des accédants et des terrains à bâtir (+41 %)
Croissance des activités d’exploitation (résidences étudiantes, coworking) avec taux d’occupation élevés
Partenariat Carrefour avec potentiel CA à terminaison estimé à plus de 2 Md€
Recalibrage de l’offre commerciale et développement sélectif améliorant les délais d’écoulement (5 mois)
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