The real estate developer's stock fell 2.71% to €8.98 this Monday, in a generally declining Parisian market. This decline comes as the stock had shown a 4.6% increase over the past seven days, just three days before the announcement of its first quarter revenue.
In Monday's session, Nexity lost 2.71% to €8.98, after closing last Friday at €9.23. The stock is moving against its recent trend, having risen 4.6% over the past week and 4.42% over three months. This decline is part of a general weakness in the Parisian market: the CAC 40 is down 1.13% during the session, while the SBF 120 has dropped 1.08%. Other stocks related to the construction and infrastructure sector are also in negative territory, with Vinci down 0.69% and Schneider Electric falling 1.61%.
The upcoming April 23 announcement of business activity and first quarter 2026 revenue is the next major event for the developer. The general meeting is scheduled for May 21.
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Technically, the price of €8.98 is in the upper part of the Bollinger Bands, at 86% of the range defined by an upper boundary at €9.24 and a lower boundary at €7.42. This proximity to the upper boundary indicates a potential overbought zone, which may partly explain the correction observed this morning. The RSI, at 65, remains below the threshold of 70 generally associated with a confirmed bullish excess.
Moreover, the 50-day moving average, positioned at €8.48, remains significantly below the current price, while the 200-day moving average stands at €9.29, slightly above the market price. The stock is oscillating between these two benchmarks, with the resistance identified at €9.23 — corresponding almost exactly to the last closing price — aligning closely with the upper Bollinger Band. The technical support is located at €7.73, about 14% below the current level.
SectorImmobilier / construction · Opérateurs immobiliers›Construction résidentielle
Context
Period
Period: 9M2025
Guidance from the release
L’activité commerciale de Nexity continue de s’améliorer au 3ème trimestre ... renouer avec une croissance rentable dès 2025.
Fin du dispositif Pinel entraînant une forte baisse des investisseurs particuliers (-45 %) ; accédants en forte progression (+26 % pour Nexity sur 9M) soutenus par l’extension du PTZ et des taux stabilisés autour de 3,1 % ; marché tertiaire en bas de cycle avec livraisons 2024 impactant le CA tertiaire 2025 ; backlog à 3,9 Md€ (?1,5 année d’activité).
Risks mentioned
Dégradation de l’environnement macro-économique (guidance conditionnelle)
Risque lié aux municipales ralentissant l’instruction des permis de construire
Baisse du marché de détail liée à la fin du Pinel (-45 % investisseurs particuliers)
Segment tertiaire en bas de cycle et absence de rechargement du backlog tertiaire
Opportunities identified
Extension du PTZ favorisant la demande des accédants et des terrains à bâtir (+41 %)
Croissance des activités d’exploitation (résidences étudiantes, coworking) avec taux d’occupation élevés
Partenariat Carrefour avec potentiel CA à terminaison estimé à plus de 2 Md€
Recalibrage de l’offre commerciale et développement sélectif améliorant les délais d’écoulement (5 mois)
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