Safran's stock is up 1.44% at midday on January 26 at 310.40 euros, rebounding after a weekly decline of 2.64%. The stock is technically stabilizing ahead of the annual results expected on February 13.
Safran's stock shows an increase of 1.44% at midday this Monday, January 26, standing at 310.40 euros compared to 306 euros at last Friday's close. The stock opened at 309.50 euros and has been trading in a narrow range between 305.40 and 309.60 euros, indicating a less volatile session. Trading volumes remain limited with only 0.03% of the capital traded, reflecting a wait-and-see approach by participants at the start of a week marked by general caution in European markets. This rebound comes after a week of consolidation which saw the stock decline by 2.64%, erasing some of the gains recorded at the beginning of January. Over three months, the performance remains positive at 2.07%, while over one year, the aerospace equipment manufacturer and engine maker has shown a remarkable increase of 33.16%. The stock continues to trade above its key moving averages, at 302.40 euros for the MM50 and 282.62 euros for the MM200, confirming that the underlying trend remains bullish despite the recent breathing phase.
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The RSI stands at 48, a neutral level indicating the absence of speculative pressure on the stock. This indicator suggests that Safran has room to continue its progress without immediate risk of technical overheating. However, the MACD displays a negative histogram at -1.45, with the MACD line (3.44) below the signal line (4.89), indicating a slowing bullish momentum in the short term. This configuration calls for caution, although it does not challenge the medium-term bullish structure. The stock has found solid support at 291.30 euros, well below the current price, while the resistance at 325.80 euros, tested in mid-January, remains a technical target to reclaim. The environment of analyst recommendations remains supportive, with recent target upgrades by Barclays to 340 euros and Kepler Cheuvreux to 354 euros in mid-January. Investors are now looking forward to the publication of the 2025 annual results scheduled for February 13, which will be a major event to validate the group's growth prospects and its ability to generate cash flow in an aerospace sector that is ramping up.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
