Safran Shares Bounce Back 4% to €283.20 After a Tough Spell
The aeronautical engine manufacturer's stock sharply rebounded this Wednesday, May 6th at the opening, following a 1.2% rise in the CAC 40 to 8,159 points. The recovery comes after a difficult period that saw the stock hit the €270 zone at the end of April, following the first quarter 2026 results.
A Technical Rebound After Two Weeks Under Pressure
Safran gains 4% to €283.20, up from €272.30 the previous day. The stock thus returns to the middle of its Bollinger Bands, after having moved in the lower range for several sessions. Over seven days, the increase reaches 4.39%, but the performance remains negative at -6.38% over three months. The RSI at 41 moves out of the low zone without signaling any particular tension. However, the price remains below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are at €302.04 and €299.47, respectively. The technical resistance is at €317.40, a level reached in mid-April before the end-of-month decline documented during the break of support at €272.50. The short-term support is now identified at €265.20.
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The next concrete appointment for shareholders is the 2026 general assembly, set for May 21. The results for the first half will be communicated on July 28, followed by the third quarter results on October 23. In terms of context, Brent crude is trading around $108 a barrel, amid ongoing tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. The ECB kept its key interest rates unchanged on April 30, mentioning upside risks on inflation and downside risks on growth. These elements remain a backdrop for the session for the engine manufacturer, with no direct causal link to the day's movement. The return above €283 places the stock at about 6.6% from its MM50, a level that will mark the next technical milestone if the rebound continues.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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