Safran Shares Decline by 1.67% at the Close of December 29
The aerospace equipment manufacturer's stock ended the session at 294.30 euros, down 1.67% from the previous day. Trading volumes remained limited at the end of the year, with only 0.02% of the capital traded.
This correction occurs in a context of particularly low trading volumes, characteristic of this end-of-year period, with only 0.02% of the capital having changed hands. Over the week, the stock has declined by 3.89%, yet it maintains a spectacular year-on-year gain of 39.53%. Over three months, the performance remains slightly negative at -0.54%, illustrating a consolidation phase after several months of strong gains. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average positioned at 299.41 euros, while it remains well above its 200-day moving average located at 274.82 euros, indicating a fundamentally positive trend. The technical support threshold is at 282.50 euros, while the resistance to break through is positioned at 306.90 euros. JPMorgan raised its price target from 350 to 375 euros in December with an overweight recommendation, while Deutsche Bank targets 325 euros, maintaining its buy advice.
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Despite the decline observed this Monday, technical signals remain generally favorable for the aerospace equipment manufacturer. The MACD shows a positive configuration with a MACD line at 0.96 above its signal line at -0.31, confirming the stock's good medium-term orientation. This bullish divergence suggests that the momentum remains constructive, even though the price has paused. The RSI is positioned at 59, indicating that the stock is in a neutral zone, with no signs of overbought or oversold conditions. This technical reading leaves the stock's upward potential intact, with still room to grow before reaching excessive valuation levels. The absence of major news catalysts at the end of the year partly explains this consolidation movement, which is part of a generally inactive market dynamic. Investors are awaiting the publication of the annual results for 2025, scheduled for February 13, 2026, to obtain new elements that could give a new direction to the stock.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
