Safran's stock continues its technical decline this Friday, March 20, trading at €290.8 mid-session, down 0.82% from the previous close. The stock has now accumulated a loss of 15% over the past month, amid tensions in the equity markets. Two simultaneous technical signals mark a new stage in the correction that has been underway for several weeks.
On Thursday, SAFRAN crossed its 200-day moving average downwards, a threshold set at €296.58. This crossing, which occurred at the previous close at €293.2, confirms that the stock has lost a long-term benchmark considered structural by market operators. At noon, the price continues its descent and settles below this level. The selling pressure has further intensified over the past week, with the stock losing 5.62% in five sessions. Over three months, the decline reaches 5.06%, while the month of March alone has wiped out most of the annual gains: the performance over one year drops to +12.71%, against much higher levels a few weeks earlier. The RSI is at 21, in a territory of marked overselling, which reflects sustained bearish pressure without immediate signs of reversal. The lower Bollinger Band, set at €290.26, is now brushed by the prices, illustrating the magnitude of the movement. The next technical resistance is at €347.20, well above current levels.
Stock Reaches New Twelve-Month Low
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During the session, the stock touched €288.5, a level below the previously established annual low of €292.9. This new negative record over twelve months materializes a floor break that accentuates the degradation of the graphical dynamics. This configuration occurs while the VIX, an indicator of implied volatility on American markets, shows high tension at 25.09, up 12.16% from the previous session. The overall market environment thus weighs on all values exposed to economic cycles, although Safran maintains a negative beta of -0.15, indicating an inverse correlation with the benchmark index. The next financial meeting for the group is scheduled for April 23, 2026, when first quarter 2026 results will be published, before the general meeting scheduled for May 21.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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