Safran's stock closed on Tuesday, January 6th at 312.70 euros, down just 0.03% from the previous day, moving within a narrow range during the session. The stock traded 0.12% of its capital, a modest volume reflecting a quiet session for the aerospace equipment manufacturer. The price now struggles against its major technical resistance at 312.80 euros, a level it has not managed to exceed despite recent upward momentum. With an increase of 6.25% over seven days and 47.78% over a year, Safran is on a marked upward trajectory. The RSI at 74 indicates an overbought zone: the stock has risen quickly and might need consolidation before continuing. Meanwhile, the price is significantly above its 50-day moving average (299.29 euros), confirming the medium-term bullish trend. Breaking the resistance at 312.80 euros could pave the way for new highs.
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Bernstein has maintained its outperform rating on Safran and raised its price target to 380 euros, up from 370 euros previously. This new target price offers a potential upside of 21.5% compared to the closing price of the day. The analyst notes that aircraft demand is expected to exceed supply until after 2030, while the prolonged maintenance of older aircraft in service boosts maintenance activities, a key segment for engine manufacturers. JPMorgan also has a target of 375 euros, with an overweight recommendation, reflecting the favorable consensus among analysts. This news comes as Safran benefits from a supportive industry dynamic. The positive MACD (2.09 against a signal line at 0.46) reinforces the ongoing buying momentum. The one-month volatility remains contained at 5.68%, suggesting that the recent progress has not been erratic. The upcoming annual results expected on February 13, 2026, will be an important catalyst for the stock.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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