Safran's Stock Plummets to €300 and Enters Oversold Territory Ahead of Earnings
Safran significantly retreated this Thursday morning, dropping 2.05% to €300.30, amid a sharp decline in the CAC 40. The aeronautical engine manufacturer's stock has now fallen by 5.63% over the last seven days and has breached a closely watched technical threshold. The group will publish its first-quarter results on April 23.
Safran's stock has shed more than six euros compared to the previous day's close, falling to €300.30, its lowest level in several weeks. This decline is part of a downward trend affecting other major industrial stocks listed in Paris this week. During the session, Airbus dropped 2.81% while Schneider Electric fell by 3.00%. The CAC 40 is currently at 7,838.95 points, down 1.64%, similar to the SBF 120, which is down by 1.65%. Despite this pronounced weekly decline, Safran has maintained a growth of nearly 18.8% over the year. Over three months, the performance is almost flat at -0.37%, indicating a consolidation phase after the significant rise recorded in the second half of 2025. The next milestone for the group will be the publication of its quarterly results on April 23, followed by the general meeting scheduled for May 21.
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Technically, Safran's stock price is now well below its 50-day moving average of €319.23 and its 20-day average of €325.45, indicating a short-term bearish trend. Only the 200-day moving average, positioned at €296.44, still provides a cushion of support near the current price. The RSI, a momentum indicator measuring the relative strength of the stock, stands at 23, indicating an oversold condition. This level, below the conventional threshold of 30, signals unusually strong selling pressure and may indicate a short-term bearish excess. The stock has also broken through its identified support at €302.30, which could pave the way for a test of the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands, located at €294.74. On the upside, the most relevant resistance lies at €347.20, more than 15% above the current price.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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