The stock closed the session at 246.10 euros, down 2.48% from the previous day when it was quoted at 252.35 euros. This correction occurred in a context of general caution in the Parisian market, with the CAC 40 itself losing 0.18% to close at 8174.2 points. Trading on Schneider Electric remained limited with a traded share capital of 0.11%, a modest level that may indicate a phase of observation by investors. Over a week, the decline reached 1.17%, but the stock maintains a positive performance over three months with an increase of 10.58% and over a year with a gain of 3.1%, thus remaining below the annual rise of the CAC 40 which stands at 9.11%. This bearish session comes a few days after RBC Capital Markets, on October 14, raised its price target on Schneider Electric from 250 to 270 euros, while maintaining its buy recommendation. Analyst Mark Fielding justified this adjustment by a delay in the general industrial recovery initially expected in the second half of 2025, now anticipated for 2026. The consensus of analysts, as of October 17, sets an average target at 257.06 euros, representing a potential upside of 3.57% compared to the closing price of the day.
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Technically, the stock is now trading below its immediate resistance threshold of 252.35 euros, a level that corresponds to the previous day's high and constitutes a hurdle in case of a rebound. However, the stock remains comfortably above its 50-day moving average, located at 228.89 euros, which indicates a still favorable underlying trend despite the day's decline. The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, shows a reading of 71, a level close to the traditional overbought threshold of 70, which may signal a possible consolidation phase after the recent weeks' progression. The MACD, a momentum indicator that compares two exponential moving averages, shows a signal line slightly above the MACD line itself, generating a negative histogram of low amplitude. This configuration suggests a slight weakening of the bullish momentum in the short term, without reversing the underlying trend which remains positive over several months. The Chaikin Money Flow, which measures buying and selling pressure by taking into account volumes, displays a slightly negative value at minus 0.04, reflecting some restraint of buying flows during this session of decline.
2025 est une année marquante. Le chiffre d’affaires atteint un niveau record, la marge d’EBITA ajusté croît malgré la volatilité, et la génération de cash-flow libre atteint un niveau historique.
Chiffre d’affaires 2025: 40 152 millions d’euros, croissance organique +8,9 %. EBITA ajusté 7 520 millions d’euros, +12,3 % organique. Résultat net: 4 163 millions d’euros. Cash-flow libre: 4 635 millions d’euros. Dividende par action: 4,20 euros. Objectif 2026: EBITA ajusté +10 % à +15 % organique; chiffre d’affaires +7 % à +10 % et marge EBITA ajusté +50 à +80 pb. Carnet de commandes 2025: 25 362 millions d’euros, visibilité renforcée.
Risks mentioned
Incertitude macroéconomique persistante affectant la demande dans certains marchés
Volatilité des devises et leur effet sur le chiffre d’affaires et la marge
Inflation des coûts et droits de douane pesant sur la marge brute
Risque lié à la transition des logiciels vers des abonnements et à l’évolution du mix produit
Opportunities identified
Demande soutenue sur les centres de données et les marchés finaux des industries et infrastructures
Croissance des revenus récurrents via les Logiciels et Services
Solidité du carnet de commandes et potentiel de pipeline et de revenus récurrents
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires 2026 est attendu entre 42,9 milliards d’euros et 44,2 milliards d’euros
Expected EBITDA: Objectif 2026: croissance organique de l’EBITA ajusté entre +10 % et +15 %
Expected net income: Le résultat net 2026 n’est pas communiqué; l’accent est mis sur l’EBITA ajusté et le cash-flow libre
Management commentary: La direction vise une croissance organique soutenue et une expansion de la marge d’EBITA ajusté, portée par la croissance du chiffre d’affaires et l’amélioration du ratio des coûts des fonctions support sur le chiffre d’affaires; l’objectif 2026 inclut un effet de change favorable potentiel et une stabilisation du cash-flow libre autour de 100 % sur la période 2026-2030.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.