Schneider Electric Stock Approaches a Critical Technical Support Level
On Tuesday, Schneider Electric's stock fell by 2.14% to €238.10 amid a general downturn in the CAC 40, which itself dropped by 0.40%. The stock has now declined by 4.32% over the past seven days and is dangerously close to a closely monitored technical level.
At €238.10, Schneider Electric is very close to its identified support threshold of €237.15. A downward break through this level could lead to an acceleration of the downward trend. The stock is trading well below its 50-day moving average of €249.20, indicating a bearish momentum that has been established for several weeks. However, the 200-day moving average at €235.62 still acts as a potential floor, with the stock being only a few euros away. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures the intensity of movement, stands at 43, indicating a low-neutral zone without reaching oversold territory (below 30). This suggests that selling pressure remains moderate at this stage, even though the short-term trend is downward. The high market volatility, evidenced by a VIX at 26.78 as of its last update on March 20, contributes to pronounced directional movements on major European stocks.
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Schneider Electric will publish its first quarter 2026 results on April 30. This date is a crucial moment to assess the trajectory of the energy management and industrial automation specialist, whose stock has only increased by 2.74% over the past year. Over three months, the performance remains slightly positive at 0.91%, but the significant decline over the last week has substantially eroded the gains made since the beginning of the year. Today's session is part of a downward movement shared by other major industrial stocks listed in Paris. Airbus is down by 2.25% and Safran by 1.91% in session. The CAC 40 is down by 0.40% at 7,695.46 points, following a day marked by high volatility due to geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran around the Strait of Hormuz. The postponement of US strikes had allowed a rebound at the end of Monday's session, but caution prevails again this Tuesday, with no specific bullish catalyst for the European industrial sector.
2025 est une année marquante. Le chiffre d’affaires atteint un niveau record, la marge d’EBITA ajusté croît malgré la volatilité, et la génération de cash-flow libre atteint un niveau historique.
Chiffre d’affaires 2025: 40 152 millions d’euros, croissance organique +8,9 %. EBITA ajusté 7 520 millions d’euros, +12,3 % organique. Résultat net: 4 163 millions d’euros. Cash-flow libre: 4 635 millions d’euros. Dividende par action: 4,20 euros. Objectif 2026: EBITA ajusté +10 % à +15 % organique; chiffre d’affaires +7 % à +10 % et marge EBITA ajusté +50 à +80 pb. Carnet de commandes 2025: 25 362 millions d’euros, visibilité renforcée.
Risks mentioned
Incertitude macroéconomique persistante affectant la demande dans certains marchés
Volatilité des devises et leur effet sur le chiffre d’affaires et la marge
Inflation des coûts et droits de douane pesant sur la marge brute
Risque lié à la transition des logiciels vers des abonnements et à l’évolution du mix produit
Opportunities identified
Demande soutenue sur les centres de données et les marchés finaux des industries et infrastructures
Croissance des revenus récurrents via les Logiciels et Services
Solidité du carnet de commandes et potentiel de pipeline et de revenus récurrents
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires 2026 est attendu entre 42,9 milliards d’euros et 44,2 milliards d’euros
Expected EBITDA: Objectif 2026: croissance organique de l’EBITA ajusté entre +10 % et +15 %
Expected net income: Le résultat net 2026 n’est pas communiqué; l’accent est mis sur l’EBITA ajusté et le cash-flow libre
Management commentary: La direction vise une croissance organique soutenue et une expansion de la marge d’EBITA ajusté, portée par la croissance du chiffre d’affaires et l’amélioration du ratio des coûts des fonctions support sur le chiffre d’affaires; l’objectif 2026 inclut un effet de change favorable potentiel et une stabilisation du cash-flow libre autour de 100 % sur la période 2026-2030.
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