Société Générale Shares Decline at Close Despite Upgraded Recommendations
Société Générale's stock ended the session on Wednesday, January 28, down by 1.38%, closing at 71.40 euros. This decline occurred amidst adjustments by two financial analysts, who revised their stances on the banking issue.
Oddo BHF initiated coverage on Société Générale on Wednesday with a 'outperform' recommendation, accompanied by a target price of 78 euros. This target suggests a potential appreciation of 9.2% compared to the closing level of the day. The brokerage firm thus raised its target from the previously displayed 63 euros. Meanwhile, Keefe Bruyette & Woods downgraded its advice from 'outperform' to 'market perform', while raising its target from 68 to 77 euros. This dual revision reflects a more cautious stance on the risk-reward profile of the stock, although the new target still indicates a potential upside of 7.8%. These adjustments come a week before the announcement of the annual results for 2025, scheduled for February 6.
Medium-Term Momentum Remains Positive
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Despite the decline observed at the close, Société Générale's stock maintains a favorable medium-term momentum. The price is trading above its 20-day moving average, which is positioned at 69.99 euros, indicating an underlying bullish trend. Over the week, the stock has shown an increase of 3.48%, while the performance over the past quarter has reached 33.21%. The 14-day RSI stands at 64, positioned in the high zone without indicating excessive overbought. This setup suggests that buyers retain control, although the stock may require a consolidation phase. Over the year, the surge in the stock price amounts to 135.8%, demonstrating a marked resurgence of investor interest in the banking sector.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
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