Société Générale Shares Jump 2.49% After Spectacular CAC 40 Turnaround
Société Générale's stock made significant progress this Monday at midday, in a Parisian market that experienced a spectacular turnaround in just a few hours. The stock is trading at 62.50 euros, up 2.49% from Friday's close. This rebound occurs as the CAC 40, which had lost more than 2% in the morning due to tensions in the Middle East, is regaining ground during the session.
Exceptional Volatility in European Markets Due to US-Iran Diplomatic Crisis
This Monday's session in European markets was marked by exceptional volatility, directly linked to the diplomatic crisis between the United States and Iran. Early in the morning, fears of a U.S. military intervention around the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for global oil transit, had caused indices to plummet. The CAC 40 had lost more than 2%. The announcement by Donald Trump of what he called 'very successful' talks with Tehran and the postponement of strikes led to a sharp reversal of trends. During the session, the CAC 40 now shows a gain of 0.61% at 7,712 points, while the SBF 120 is up by 0.63%. Société Générale fully benefits from this return to calm. The banking sector, highly exposed to geopolitical uncertainties due to its sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions and energy prices, is among the main beneficiaries of this easing. In the same sector, BNP Paribas is up by 0.39% while AXA is stable (+0.05%). Société Générale's rise is thus one of the most significant among the major financial stocks on the Paris exchange.
Despite Rebound, Société Générale's Stock Remains Technically Fragile
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Despite the rebound in this session, the technical situation of the stock remains fragile. The price of 62.50 euros is significantly below the 50-day moving average, set at 70.38 euros, indicating a medium-term downward trend. This downturn has intensified in recent weeks: the stock has declined by 2.53% over seven days and 7.87% over three months. The RSI, at 31, is approaching the conventionally set oversold threshold of 30, signaling significant selling pressure in the recent period. However, today's rebound is supported by the support level at 60.98 euros, exactly matching Friday's closing price, which acted as a floor. In the longer term, performance remains solid with a gain of 47.58% over one year, and the price remains above its 200-day moving average (59.58 euros). Investors will be watching for the publication of the first quarter 2026 results, scheduled for April 30, which will be a crucial moment to assess the bank's operational trajectory in an uncertain geopolitical environment.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
