Société Générale Shares Plunge 13% in Seven Days, Breaking Key Support
Société Générale's stock experienced a significant decline this Monday midday, dropping 3.31% to 64.32 euros, amid a widespread retreat in European stock markets. The bank's shares continue a downward trend that began last week, with a cumulative loss of nearly 13% over seven days. Meanwhile, the CAC 40 index fell by 1.98% during the session, reaching 7,835 points.
On Monday, Société Générale's stock price broke through its previous support level at 66.52 euros, which was last Friday's closing level. This downward breach is a negative signal technically. The stock is now trading well below its 50-day moving average of 71.13 euros and its 20-day moving average of 71.67 euros, indicating a deterioration in the short-term trend. The price is also flirting with the lower Bollinger band, set at 65.94 euros, a break of which could intensify selling pressure. The RSI, a momentum indicator, is at 46, in a neutral zone but declining, reflecting a gradual loss of the upward momentum that characterized recent months. Over one year, the stock still holds a significant gain of 52.87%, and over three months, the performance remains positive at 2.72%, thanks to the rally seen at the beginning of the year. The 200-day moving average, at 58.73 euros, remains a distant medium-term reference point.
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Monday's session took place amid tensions across international markets. In Europe, Germany's DAX fell by 1.59% and the UK's FTSE 100 by 1.42% during the session. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 ended the day down 5.20% at the close, while the Hang Seng dropped 1.35%. The VIX, a measure of market volatility in the American markets, showed a significant increase of 12.29% to 23.75 points as of its last reading on March 5, indicating rising nervousness. In this environment, European banking stocks, particularly sensitive to shifts in risk appetite, are facing notable sell-offs. For Société Générale, upcoming financial calendar events could act as catalysts: the publication of the first quarter 2026 results is expected on April 30, followed by the annual general meeting scheduled for May 27. Until then, the stock's trajectory will largely depend on the direction of the leading markets and the ability of the price to stabilize above its current technical levels.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
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