Societe Generale Shares Up 1.84% in Late Afternoon Trading
Societe Generale's stock price has risen by 1.84% this Friday in late afternoon, reaching 73.12 euros. This performance is part of a broader positive trend, with an increase of 33.04% over three months and a doubling of the share price over the year. The bank is set to publish its annual results on February 6th.
Last Tuesday, two research firms released new evaluations on the stock. Oddo BHF reiterated its 'outperform' rating while significantly raising its target from 63 to 78 euros, representing a potential increase of 6.7% from the current price. This valuation reflects increased confidence in the prospects of the French bank. Keefe Bruyette & Woods took a more cautious stance by downgrading their recommendation from 'outperform' to 'market perform', setting a new target at 77 euros compared to the previous 68 euros, which still represents an increase of 5.3% from current levels. These differing views illustrate the ongoing debates about the valuation of the stock following its recent strong appreciation.
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On the technical front, Societe Generale has recently surpassed its resistance level set at 72.40 euros, confirming the strength of the ongoing bullish movement. The three moving averages are positioned constructively: the 20-day moving average at 70.24 euros, the 50-day at 65.81 euros, and the 200-day at 55.46 euros, indicating a clearly ascending trend across all time horizons. The Relative Strength Index is at 60, a level that signals positive momentum without indicating overheating. The stock is now trading above the upper Bollinger band set at 72.19 euros, showing a recent acceleration in buying. The one-month volatility stands at 6.04%, a moderate figure suggesting relatively controlled movements in a European banking context marked by anticipation of quarterly earnings releases.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
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