Societe Generale Stock: Technical Rebound After a Week of Significant Decline
Societe Generale's stock is regaining strength this Tuesday, February 17, showing an increase of 1.08% at 69.38 euros after a week of decline by 7.44%. This session occurs as Deutsche Bank has just raised its price target on the banking stock. The stock is trading very close to its 50-day moving average, a technically monitored level.
At the start of the week, Deutsche Bank raised its price target on Societe Generale from 75 to 78 euros, accompanied by a buy recommendation. This new target implies a potential revaluation of about 12.4% compared to the current price of 69.38 euros. This move by the German bank comes in a context where the stock has undergone a significant correction over the past seven days, after an outstanding performance over the year with a gain of nearly 88%. The upward revision of the target suggests that the German institution views the recent correction as an opportunity, although this does not guarantee future price developments. Over three months, the bank's stock still holds a gain of 19.66%, indicating a fundamentally favorable trend despite the recent decline.
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From a chart perspective, the stock is trading at 69.38 euros, just above its 50-day moving average at 69 euros. This threshold represents a significant technical support level: maintaining above this level could indicate the preservation of the medium-term upward trend, while a break below could weaken this configuration. The 200-day moving average, significantly lower at 57.05 euros, confirms that the long-term trend remains upward. The RSI, an indicator measuring the intensity of price movements, is positioned at 43, in a neutral zone but close to the usual oversold threshold set at 30. This level reflects the selling pressure experienced during the recent decline, without the stock moving into a bearish excess. The most relevant support is at 66.70 euros, corresponding to a technical floor whose potential breach could increase the downward pressure on the stock.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
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