Stellantis Shares Dip Below €7, Weighed Down by Brent Crude at $106
The automaker's stock fell by 2.87% to €6.98 this Friday, in a Parisian market that was also trending downwards. The surge in Brent crude beyond $106 per barrel, fueled by military tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, is impacting the entire automotive sector, which is a major energy consumer and sensitive to transportation costs.
Stellantis NV shares fell sharply this Friday, as the CAC 40 dropped by 1.05% during the session to 8,141 points and the SBF 120 lost 1%. The sudden increase in crude oil prices, which jumped by 12% in five days, is a direct pressure factor for a group whose industrial margins closely depend on logistical and energy costs. A barrel consistently above $100 acts as an additional cost for manufacturers and reduces the purchasing power of households, potential buyers of new vehicles. Over three months, the stock has declined by 15.71%, while its performance over one year stands at -12.02%. Just days before the release of the first quarter 2026 results scheduled for April 30, this downward trend raises questions. On April 22, RBC Capital raised its price target from €6 to €7, while maintaining its 'market performance' recommendation, which places the target very close to the current price and suggests only limited potential for growth.
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From a technical analysis standpoint, the price of €6.98 is above the 50-day moving average (€6.41), indicating a short-term upward trend despite the day's decline. However, the 200-day moving average is significantly higher, at €8.10, reflecting a fundamental deterioration over a longer horizon. The gap between these two benchmarks illustrates the path remaining for the stock to find a sustainable upward trajectory. The RSI, at 62, remains in a neutral zone, with no overbought or oversold signals, allowing room for fluctuation in either direction. The next resistance threshold is at €7.43, a level the stock briefly approached before retreating. Furthermore, the strategic partnership with Microsoft announced this week, aimed at integrating artificial intelligence into the customer experience, has not been enough to halt the decline, as the market remains focused on the macroeconomic uncertainties related to oil and the upcoming quarterly results.
Nos résultats pour l’année 2025 reflètent le coût d’une surestimation du rythme de la transition énergétique et la nécessité d’entreprendre un « reset » pour replacer au cœur de notre activité la liberté de choix de nos clients.
Stellantis publie les résultats annuels 2025 avec un chiffre d’affaires net de 153,5 milliards d’euros et une perte nette de 22,3 milliards d’euros, principalement due à des charges exceptionnelles. Le deuxième semestre 2025 montre une reprise de la croissance et une amélioration du free cash flow industriel. Disponibilité de liquidités industrielles à 46 milliards d’euros; le dividende 2026 est suspendu et des obligations hybrides jusqu’à 5 milliards d’euros peuvent être émises. Perspectives 2026 affirmées avec une progression attendue du chiffre d’affaires net, de la marge AOI et du free cash flow industriel; accélération attendue entre H1 et H2 2026.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Prévision d’un chiffre d’affaires net en hausse de milieu à un chiffre pour 2026, avec une amélioration progressive entre le premier et le second semestre.
Expected EBITDA: Marge AOI à un chiffre dans la fourchette basse en 2026; amélioration de la génération du free cash-flow industriel attendue.
Expected net income: Perspectives 2026 axées sur une amélioration progressive du chiffre d’affaires, de la marge AOI et du free cash-flow industriel.
Management commentary: La société réaffirme ses perspectives pour 2026 et prévoit des améliorations progressives entre H1 et H2 2026.
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