STMicroelectronics closed the session on December 29 at 22.15 euros. The stock moved within a narrow range, between 22.06 and 22.23 euros, showing limited volatility at the end of the year. Trading volumes remained modest, with only 0.06% of the capital transferred. The price has increased by 3.4% since it crossed above its 50-day moving average, set at 21.45 euros, after surpassing it in mid-December. The RSI, measuring the momentum of the stock, shows a neutral value of 50, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers, far from any overbought or oversold zones. However, the value remains 2.1% below its 200-day moving average, located at 22.58 euros, and shows an underperformance of 9% over one year, reflecting a challenging sector context for the automotive and industrial segment. The nearest technical resistance is at 22.46 euros, a level tested during the session without being exceeded, while support is established at 18.81 euros.
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Oddo BHF reiterated its outperform rating on STMicroelectronics and raised its price target from 28 to 30 euros on December 17, offering a potential upside of 35% from the current price. The bank cites the ramp-up of the photonics contract with AWS, with a potential of nearly 500 million dollars in revenue over three to four years, and the expansion of the satellite segment beyond Starlink, as growth drivers. The decade-long partnership with SpaceX, which has resulted in the delivery of more than 5 billion radiofrequency modules to equip 10,000 Starlink satellites, illustrates this diversification. However, the environment remains mixed for the Italo-Swiss group, which is awaiting its 2025 annual results on January 29, 2026. Analysts anticipate a challenging first quarter of 2026, with a sequential revenue decline of 10 to 11%, but a gradual improvement is expected over the rest of the year. The correction of inventories at clients in the automotive and industrial sectors is coming to an end, paving the way for a gradual normalization of activity.
« Le chiffre d'affaires du quatrième trimestre a dépassé le milieu de notre prévision et la marge brute a été soutenue par un meilleur mix produit. »
STMicroelectronics a publié ses résultats pour le quatrième trimestre et l'année 2025. Le chiffre d'affaires annuel s'établit à 11,8 milliards de dollars avec une marge brute de 33,9% et un résultat opérationnel de 175 millions de dollars. Le bénéfice net attribuable aux actionnaires pour l'année est de 166 millions de dollars, et le flux de trésorerie disponible (non-U.S. GAAP) pour l'année est de 265 millions de dollars. Pour 2026, le point médian du trimestre est un chiffre d'affaires attendu de 3,04 milliards de dollars et une marge brute d'environ 33,7%.
Risks mentioned
changements dans les politiques commerciales mondiales, y compris les tarifs et barrières commerciaux, susceptibles d'affecter la demande
incertitudes macroéconomiques et inflation, influençant la production et la demande finale
écarts entre la demande client et les projections nécessitant des mesures de transformation
capacité à concevoir, fabriquer et vendre des produits innovants dans un environnement technologique rapide
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires du premier trimestre 2026 est attendu autour de 3,04 milliards de dollars, en baisse séquentielle d'environ 8,7% et avec une marge brute d'environ 33,7% (plus ou moins 350 pb pour le chiffre d'affaires et plus ou moins 200 pb pour la marge brute).
Management commentary: La direction souligne que les perspectives dépendent des conditions macroéconomiques, des taux de change et du mix produit.
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