Thales Shares Drop 5% in a Week, Falling Below 200-Day Average
The defense electronics group's stock fell by 2.85% this Friday, March 20th, closing at 242 euros compared to 249.10 euros the day before. This decline is part of a challenging week for Thales, with the stock losing more than 5% over the last seven days, amid a general downturn in the Paris market.
Significant Selling Pressure on Thales at Week's End
Thales experienced notable selling pressure towards the end of the week. The stock dropped by 2.85% to close at 242 euros, in an unfavorable market environment: the CAC 40 was down by 1.40% during the session, at 7698.43 points, while the SBF 120 lost 1.39%. Other European technology and industrial stocks also suffered, such as ASML Holding (-2.16%) and Schneider Electric (-1.44%). Over the past week, the stock of the group based in La Défense has declined by 5.06%, erasing part of its quarterly gain, which remains positive at 5.31% over three months. However, the performance over one year remains slightly negative, at -2.06%. The VIX, a measure of market volatility in the US, showed a high tension level at 25.09 points in its last update, up more than 12% in one session.
Technical Analysis Indicates Short-Term Bearish Trend for Thales
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From a technical analysis perspective, Thales' stock price is now significantly below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which are at 251.02 euros and 254.87 euros respectively, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The stock is approaching its 200-day moving average (244.80 euros), which it has just crossed downwards, a signal usually interpreted as a weakening of the underlying trend. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 45, is in a neutral zone but trending towards the oversold area, reflecting a waning of buying pressure without yet indicating an overselling excess. The next support threshold is identified at 236.40 euros, while the major resistance is positioned at 264.40 euros. It is noteworthy that the next important date in Thales' financial calendar is the general meeting scheduled for May 12, 2026, an event that could provide new directions to shareholders.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
Net debt: -1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
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