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Thales Shares Gain 3.35% at Midday, Outperforming the CAC 40

At mid-session on Tuesday, December 9, 2025, Thales shares are up 3.35% at 234.60 euros, moving against the trend of a CAC 40 that is down by 0.48%. This increase occurs in a context of low activity with only 0.04% of the capital traded, indicating a movement driven by limited volumes. The defense equipment manufacturer's stock continues its weekly upward trend while still under pressure relative to its moving averages.


Thales Shares Gain 3.35% at Midday, Outperforming the CAC 40

Strong Weekly Momentum Despite Limited Trading Volume

The French defense and aerospace specialist has gained 7.60 euros compared to the previous day's close of 227 euros, thus extending an already favorable weekly dynamic. Over the last seven sessions, Thales has shown a gain of 6.88%, while its quarterly performance is at 4.45%. Even more notably, the stock significantly outperforms the Paris index on an annual horizon with a gain of 65.44% compared to just 8.65% for the CAC 40. However, this rebound session occurs in a particularly low trading volume, with only 0.04% of the capital exchanged, suggesting low conviction among participants despite the displayed increase. The stock operates in a quiet market, similar to the domestic index which moderately declines. This technical divergence between Thales and the CAC 40 indicates a targeted buyer flow on the stock, without an immediate identifiable catalyst. The defense sector remains generally supported by increasing European military budgets, although this underlying theme does not constitute a specific trigger for the session.

Technical Indicators Suggest Room for Growth

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Technically, the stock is currently above its major support threshold set at 219.50 euros, but remains distant from its resistance at 252.70 euros, leaving a margin of progression of nearly 8%. The RSI indicator shows a reading of 36, indicative of an oversold zone which could explain the technical rebound observed this Tuesday. This level suggests that the stock was temporarily undervalued in the short term, favoring the emergence of tactical buying opportunities. Additionally, the MACD presents a positive histogram at 0.41, indicating the beginning of a bullish reversal after a period of consolidation, although the MACD line remains negative at -5.84. The 50-session moving average is at 244.77 euros, about 4% above the current price, showing that Thales is still below this important technical reference. This configuration indicates that the stock still needs to overcome several levels to fully confirm a bullish setup. The one-month volatility, measured at 6.90%, remains contained, demonstrating a moderate risk profile for a defense stock. The current price level, combined with a low RSI and an improving MACD, outlines a favorable context for a short-term technical rebound, without yet validating a lasting trend reversal.

Consolidation Phase Despite Exceptional Yearly Performance

Despite exceptional performances over twelve months that place Thales among the top performers of the CAC 40, the stock remains in a consolidation phase for several weeks. The 50 and 200-day moving averages, at 244.77 and 244.93 euros respectively, remain above the spot price, forming a technical resistance zone that must be crossed to validate a structural bullish recovery. The gap between these two moving averages has significantly narrowed in recent months, from more than 10 euros to less than one euro, indicating a flattening of the upward momentum observed in the first half of the year. Analysts remain generally constructive on the stock with a predominantly positive consensus and price targets ranging from 257 to 276 euros according to market sources, offering a revaluation potential of between 10 and 18%. The group's record order book, exceeding 50 billion euros, and the expected organic growth trajectory of between 5 and 7% annually are solid structural arguments. However, investors remain attentive to the pace of realization of defense contracts and the evolution of European military budgets, two variables that will condition Thales' ability to continue its upward trajectory beyond this technical breathing phase.



Sector Défense · Aéronautique · Industrie · Technologie Défense


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 22 136 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 7,6 %
  • Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
  • Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
  • Net debt: -1 618 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 3,90 €
  • Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
  • 2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
  • Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
  • Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
  • Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
  • Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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