Thales Shares Surge 3.47% Against a Declining CAC 40
This Thursday, Thales recorded a significant increase of 3.47% to 256.10 euros, in a Parisian market trending downward. The defense and security electronics group's stock, which recently unveiled a European defense dome project named SkyDefender, stands out from the CAC 40, which dropped by 0.39% during the session. Over three months, the stock has accumulated a rise of over 12%.
Thales stock rebounded sharply this Thursday after closing at 247.50 euros the previous day. This 3.47% increase brings the price above its 50-day moving average of 253.82 euros, a level that had been acting as short-term resistance in recent sessions. The breakthrough of this technical level is particularly significant as the RSI was at 37, in a moderately oversold zone, indicating a potential for recovery after a period of decline. The stock is now fluctuating between its support at 236.40 euros and its resistance at 264.40 euros, the latter coinciding with the upper Bollinger band. The weekly performance stands at +2.15%, while the annual increase reaches 9.12%. The particularly low beta of 0.20 confirms the stock's low correlation with general market movements, which may explain its ability to move contrary to the CAC 40 during this session.
Thales Rises Amid Geopolitical Tensions
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Thales' rise occurs in a tense geopolitical environment, marked by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and its repercussions on energy markets. The day before, Christine Lagarde highlighted the unprecedented level of uncertainty surrounding the current economic situation, while reiterating the ECB's determination to contain inflationary pressures. The next monetary policy decision is expected on March 19. In this context, defense stocks are gaining structural interest linked to European rearmament commitments. The CAC 40 is down 0.39% in the session at 8,010.11 points, while the SBF 120 has fallen 0.34% to 6,064.43 points. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 ended the day down 1.04%. On Thales' financial calendar, the next significant date is the general meeting scheduled for May 12, 2026. The group shows a monthly volatility measured at 10.36%, reflecting contained fluctuations despite market turbulences.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
-1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.