Thales Stock: Shares Fall Below 50-Day Moving Average Ahead of Annual Results Announcement
Thales shares fell by 1.62% this Thursday midday, trading at 249.30 euros compared to 253.40 euros the previous day. This decline is part of an unfavorable week for the stock, which has lost nearly 4% over seven days. Attention is now turning to the upcoming announcement of the annual results scheduled for March 3.
Technical Indicators Show Increased Selling Pressure
Trading at 249.30 euros, Thales is now slightly below its 50-day moving average, which stands at 249.93 euros. This downward crossing represents a short-term unfavorable technical signal, especially as the stock also moves away from its 20-day moving average (254.11 euros), confirming increasing selling pressure in recent sessions. The RSI, a momentum indicator, is positioned at 50, indicating a perfectly neutral level that neither suggests overbuying nor overselling, leaving the stock in a zone of indecision. The nearest support is at 245.20 euros, almost coinciding with the 200-day moving average (245.86 euros), which enhances its technical relevance. The convergence of these two levels could provide a stabilization point if the correction were to continue. On a broader horizon, the quarterly performance remains positive at over 10%, and the annual gain reaches 31.66%, which puts the current bearish episode into perspective.
Key Upcoming Event: Annual Results Announcement
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The defense and security electronics group will publish its annual results on March 3, less than a week away. This event is the next major milestone for market participants, who will then have concrete information on revenue growth trajectory, operational profitability, and order intake for the past fiscal year. In a geopolitical context that continues to support defense budgets in Europe, the publication will be scrutinized to assess Thales's ability to convert a reputedly solid order book into tangible financial results. The general meeting is scheduled for May 12, 2026, when shareholders will vote on the distribution policy. The monthly volatility of the stock, measured at 9.17%, remains contained, suggesting that recent movements are orderly despite the decline observed this week.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
-1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.