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Valneva Dives into the Red: €82 Million Operational Loss in 2025

The French vaccine laboratory recorded an operational loss of €82.1 million in 2025, despite a 3% increase in revenue to €174.7 million. This contradiction highlights a costly growth strategy: massive investment in R&D prior to expected results in the first half of 2026 for its leading Lyme disease candidate, in partnership with Pfizer.


Valneva Dives into the Red: €82 Million Operational Loss in 2025

Revenue Growth Amidst Rising Costs

Valneva recorded total revenue of €174.7 million in 2025, up 3% from €169.6 million in 2024. Excluding third-party products (which gradually ceased in 2025), the group's own sales grew by 9% at constant exchange rates. The Japanese encephalitis vaccine IXIARO/JESPECT drove this growth with a 7.2% increase, reaching €98.4 million. IXCHIQ, the chikungunya vaccine, more than doubled its sales to €8.4 million from €3.7 million a year earlier, benefiting from launches in several European countries and an epidemiological outbreak in La Réunion. However, behind these positive figures, operational damages accumulated: Valneva recorded an operational loss of €82.1 million in 2025, compared to an operational profit of €13.3 million in 2024. This dramatic reversal was mainly due to 2024 benefiting from an exceptional gain of €90.8 million from the sale of a rights portfolio.

Financial Deterioration Amid Operational Challenges

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At the heart of this financial deterioration, operational challenges are mounting. The cost of goods sold amounted to €107.1 million in 2025, mainly due to additional expenses related to the completion of the production transfer to the new Almeida facility in Scotland. The gross margin of IXIARO contracted to 59.6% in 2025 from 61% in 2024, penalized by higher production costs at the new site coupled with lower production volumes. More critically: IXCHIQ displayed a negative gross margin in 2025, penalized by €8.5 million in inventory write-downs following the termination of the supply agreement with Serum Institute of India in December 2025. DUKORAL, the cholera vaccine, saw its margin erode to 33.3% from 38.7% in 2024, notably due to batch failures in the last quarter of 2025. Concurrently, R&D expenses surged to €85.3 million, up 15% from €74.1 million in 2024, reflecting the increasing intensity of investment in vaccine candidates.

Maintaining Outlook for 2026 Despite Financial Strain

Despite this deteriorated financial situation, Valneva maintains its outlook for 2026 and stakes its future on the imminent arrival of potentially 'transformative' results. The first results from the Phase 3 VALOR trial of the VLA15 candidate against Lyme disease, conducted by Pfizer, are expected in the first half of 2026. Phase 3 vaccinations were finalized in 2025. If the results are positive, Pfizer plans to submit a request for authorization to the US FDA and the European EMA in 2026. Valneva could then receive up to $143 million in payments related to the initial stages of commercialization, royalties between 14% and 22% on sales, and up to $100 million in additional payments based on cumulative sales. The group also recorded a cash position of €109.7 million as of December 31, 2025, down from €168.3 million a year earlier, indicating significant but still controlled cash consumption thanks to rigorous expense management. The realization of this expectation regarding the Lyme disease vaccine would represent a major turning point to justify current investments and accumulated losses.



Sector Santé · Pharmacie Industrie Pharmaceutique


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Au troisième trimestre, nous avons continué à nous concentrer sur le renforcement de notre trésorerie, ce qui nous a permis de refinancer notre dette à des conditions financières plus avantageuses.
  • Chiffre d’affaires de 127,0 millions d’euros sur neuf mois (+8,9 %), ventes de 119,4 millions d’euros, trésorerie de 143,5 millions d’euros au 30/09/2025, perte nette 65,2 millions d’euros, EBITDA ajusté (37,7) millions d’euros. Guidance 2025 confirmée : chiffre d’affaires attendu entre 165 et 180 millions d’euros; ventes attendues entre 155 et 170 millions d'euros. Renforcement de la position financière via refinancement et ATMs; Phase 3 VALOR pour le vaccin Lyme en cours selon calendrier.
Risks mentioned
  • Suspension de la licence IXCHIQ ® aux États-Unis par la FDA (impact sur ventes segment voyageurs)
  • Risque de résultats cliniques défavorables pour les candidats (phase 3 VALOR pour Lyme, essais S4V2, VLA1601 incertitudes réglementaires)
  • Exposition aux fluctuations de change (impact négatif mentionné de 1,3 millions d’euros sur ventes, effets de change volontaires)
  • Dépendance à des partenaires de distribution et diminution des produits de tiers (arrêt de distribution de Rabipur/RabAvert et Encepur)
Opportunities identified
  • Résultats positifs potentiels de la Phase 3 VALOR (VLA15) pouvant mener à des demandes d'autorisation en 2026
  • Accord commercial avec CSL Seqirus en Allemagne pour stimuler la commercialisation des vaccins
  • Croissance des ventes d'IXCHIQ ® sur les marchés hors États-Unis et dans les PRFI (livraisons de substance active)
  • Potentiel du candidat S4V2 contre la shigellose (marché estimé > 500 millions de dollars/an)
  • Données positives de Phase 1 pour VLA1601 (Zika) et forte persistance d'anticorps pour IXCHIQ ® (95 % à 4 ans) comme avantage concurrentiel

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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