Vinci's stock recorded a decline of 1.75% this Monday, February 9, 2026, at midday, settling at 131.85 euros. This correction occurs even as the stock has shown sustained growth over recent weeks, with an increase of 8.83% over seven days and 14.06% over three months. The concession and construction group continues to benefit from renewed support from financial analysts.
This Monday, Oddo BHF raised its price target on Vinci from 145 to 155 euros, just days after the company's annual results were published, while maintaining its outperformance recommendation. This upward revision now offers a potential appreciation of 17.6% compared to the current price, reflecting the analyst's confidence in the prospects of the French group. The bank thus highlights the solid fundamentals of the highway and airport concessionaire, in a context where the stock has already increased by 20.03% over a year. This favorable position from the broker comes as Vinci is preparing to publish its first-quarter information on April 23, followed by its half-year results on July 29. The general meeting of shareholders is scheduled for April 14, 2026.
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Technically, the stock is significantly above its key moving averages, with the 50-day average at 119.96 euros and the 200-session average at 121.46 euros. This configuration indicates a positive underlying trend, reinforced by the recent upward momentum that has pushed the price to high levels. The relative strength index is at 65, indicating favorable momentum without reaching an excessively overheated zone. However, the stochastic oscillator is currently issuing a sell signal, suggesting a possible short-term consolidation phase after the recent sharp rise. The resistance threshold identified at 129.60 euros has been surpassed, paving the way for new highs, while the support is positioned significantly lower at 114.75 euros. Volatility remains contained at 6.92% over a month, indicating a relatively controlled evolution of the stock despite observed fluctuations.
VINCI a réalisé en 2025 une performance en hausse. La progression du chiffre d’affaires s’est accompagnée d’une nouvelle amélioration des résultats opérationnels.
Chiffre d’affaires 2025 de 74,6 milliards d’euros; EBITDA 13,5 milliards; résultat net part du Groupe 4,9 milliards; cash-flow libre 7,0 milliards; endettement net en baisse; dividende proposé 5,00 euros par action; perspectives 2026 positives.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires en 2026 est attendu en hausse par rapport à 2025, avec des progressions dans les concessions, les services à l’énergie et la construction, et un cash-flow libre estimé autour de 6 milliards d’euros en première approche, sous réserve d’un niveau d’activité et d’un cadre fiscal inchangé.
Expected EBITDA: La direction prévoit une nouvelle progression en 2026, sans chiffre précis communiqué.
Expected net income: La direction anticipe une progression du résultat net part du Groupe en 2026, sous réserve d’un exercice stabilisé.
Management commentary: La direction affirme sa discipline financière et son positionnement sur les trois métiers, avec un accent sur la génération de cash-flow et la création de valeur.
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