Dassault Aviation stock breaks through its €311 resistance level and gains 4.5% in one week
The Saint-Cloud aircraft manufacturer is in positive territory this early afternoon, extending the bullish momentum initiated over several sessions. The stock is holding firmly above the technical threshold that had blocked its progress for weeks, in a Paris market broadly oriented upward.
Dassault Aviation holds above its broken resistance at €311.2 with an RSI at 60
The Dassault Aviation stock gains 1.8% to €316.40 during the session, after closing the previous day at €310.80. The key highlight of the day remains the upside break of resistance at €311.2, which occurred during the session and was confirmed by the stock maintaining well above this threshold. This level, now acting as potential support, had already been broken once during the 8% surge on July 23rd, before the stock returned to test it at the end of July.
The price is trading above the three reference moving averages: 7.46% above the 20-day MA at €294.43, 6.86% above the 50-day MA at €296.08, and 4.78% above the 200-day MA at €301.96. The RSI at 60 reflects buying momentum present, with no overbought signal at this stage, which leaves room before the next resistance at €353.40.
A gain of 4.5% over the week driven by solid fundamentals and a buoyant defense sector
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Over one week, the stock advances 4.42%, consolidating a rebound initiated after the late July trough. The one-year performance reaches 17.01%, reflecting underlying momentum supported by Rafale orders and the strategic repositioning announced during the July 22nd presentation, which marked the end of the SCAF program in favor of a national alternative. In this context, the CAC 40 gains 0.66% during the session, and Thales advances 2.03%, a sign of broader sector appetite for French defense stocks.
Among the analyst views on the stock, UBS had lowered its price target in early July, a view now largely overtaken by current prices. The next resistance at €353.40 represents additional potential of over 11% compared to the current price.
Le Rafale a confirmé son succès en 2025, avec la livraison du 300 ème Rafale et la commande de 26 Rafale par la Marine indienne.
Dassault Aviation présente des résultats 2025 conformes à l’évolution attendue: chiffre d’affaires consolidé IFRS de 7 426 millions d’euros, résultat opérationnel consolidé IFRS de 639 millions d’euros, résultat net consolidé IFRS de 977 millions d’euros et marge nette consolidée IFRS de 13,2%. Trésorerie disponible à 9 415 millions d’euros. Carnet de commandes consolidé à 46 596 millions d’euros et ratio book-to-bill de 1,5x. Dividendes proposés de 4,78 euros par action (payout d’environ 35%). Pour 2026, le chiffre d’affaires est anticipé autour de 8,5 milliards d’euros avec 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale prévus.
Risks mentioned
Incertitudes liées aux contextes militaires, géopolitiques et budgétaires, couplés aux droits de douane et à l’incertitude sur le SCAF.
Pression fiscale dégrade la compétitivité de la Société.
Incertitudes liées au droit de douane américain au 1er semestre 2025 et à l’évolution du Make in India.
Opportunities identified
Progression possible grâce au Make in India et à la coopération avec des partenaires indiens (DRAL, Tata Advanced Systems).
Poursuite du développement et de la modernisation des programmes Rafale/Falcon et du SCAF, ARCHANGE et ALBATROS; potentiel d’accroître les exports.
Partenariats pour une IA souveraine et maîtrisée avec AMIAD, Thales (cortAIx) et Harmattan AI.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8,5 milliards d'euros (2026)
Management commentary: La prévision pour 2026 prévoit un chiffre d’affaires en hausse par rapport à 2025, à 8,5 milliards d’euros, soutenu par les livraisons prévues de Rafale et Falcon (40 Falcon et 28 Rafale).
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
