Vinci Shares Edge Close to €120 at Closing, Boosted by Weekly Rebound
Vinci shares ended the session on January 28 at €119.70, up 0.8% from the previous close. This increase is part of a clearly favorable weekly dynamic, with the French concessions and construction giant posting a 4.31% gain over seven days. The price has crossed its 20-day moving average, set at €118.90.
Vinci shares have been above their 20-day moving average since the day's close, indicating renewed interest after several uncertain sessions. This crossing occurs while the stock had experienced relative stagnation over three months, with a slight decrease of 0.25%. The 14-day relative strength index remains in the low zone, at 36, reflecting still-present selling pressure that could diminish. Over a year, the stock's performance remains positive with a 15.71% increase, demonstrating a constructive underlying trend despite recent volatility. The one-month volatility stands at 7.27, a moderate level that does not indicate major turbulence. In the short term, crossing the moving average is a technical signal to watch, especially as the group prepares to publish its 2025 annual results on February 5.
Analyst Outlook Remains Positive
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Analyst perspectives on the file remain positively oriented. Deutsche Bank recently raised its price target from €130 to €137, while reiterating its buy recommendation on January 15. This new target suggests a potential upside of 14.4% from the current price. Meanwhile, Berenberg has set an even higher target at €140 on January 13, representing a theoretical margin of progression of nearly 17%. These revisions reflect sustained confidence in the group's ability to consolidate its positions in infrastructure and construction, strategic sectors for the French and European economy. The 2026 general assembly, scheduled for April 14, as well as the upcoming quarterly results, will be key events to confirm or refute these expectations.
VINCI a réalisé en 2025 une performance en hausse. La progression du chiffre d’affaires s’est accompagnée d’une nouvelle amélioration des résultats opérationnels.
Chiffre d’affaires 2025 de 74,6 milliards d’euros; EBITDA 13,5 milliards; résultat net part du Groupe 4,9 milliards; cash-flow libre 7,0 milliards; endettement net en baisse; dividende proposé 5,00 euros par action; perspectives 2026 positives.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires en 2026 est attendu en hausse par rapport à 2025, avec des progressions dans les concessions, les services à l’énergie et la construction, et un cash-flow libre estimé autour de 6 milliards d’euros en première approche, sous réserve d’un niveau d’activité et d’un cadre fiscal inchangé.
Expected EBITDA: La direction prévoit une nouvelle progression en 2026, sans chiffre précis communiqué.
Expected net income: La direction anticipe une progression du résultat net part du Groupe en 2026, sous réserve d’un exercice stabilisé.
Management commentary: La direction affirme sa discipline financière et son positionnement sur les trois métiers, avec un accent sur la génération de cash-flow et la création de valeur.
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