Vinci Stock: New Historical High Reached at Thursday's Opening
Vinci's stock hits a new all-time high on Thursday, February 12, surpassing the previous peak of 134.75 euros. The stock is up 0.49% in early trading, continuing a remarkable upward trend with a gain of over 8% in a week.
By surpassing its previous record, Vinci now trades above the upper Bollinger band, set at 132.42 euros, indicating a significant extension of prices from their recent trajectory. This setup is accompanied by an RSI at 89, a level indicating an advanced overbought zone: this momentum indicator, which oscillates between 0 and 100, clearly exceeds the usual overbought threshold of 70. Moreover, the price has significantly distanced itself from its 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, all clustered around 120-121 euros, representing a gap of more than 10%. The directional trend remains bullish, but the magnitude of the divergence between the price and its average benchmarks calls for caution regarding the stock's ability to maintain this appreciation pace in the short term.
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Over the past three months, the infrastructure and concessions group's stock has shown a gain of 13.34%, while the annual performance reaches 25.66%. This trajectory occurs in a context of relatively low volatility, with the stock's beta at 0.14, reflecting very limited sensitivity to general market fluctuations. The monthly volatility, measured at 9.39, remains contained despite the recent acceleration in prices. Regarding the agenda, several key dates will mark the coming weeks: the general assembly is scheduled for April 14, followed by the publication of quarterly information on April 23. The semi-annual results are expected on July 29. These events could provide new insights into the operational and financial trajectory of the group led by Xavier Huillard.
VINCI a réalisé en 2025 une performance en hausse. La progression du chiffre d’affaires s’est accompagnée d’une nouvelle amélioration des résultats opérationnels.
Chiffre d’affaires 2025 de 74,6 milliards d’euros; EBITDA 13,5 milliards; résultat net part du Groupe 4,9 milliards; cash-flow libre 7,0 milliards; endettement net en baisse; dividende proposé 5,00 euros par action; perspectives 2026 positives.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires en 2026 est attendu en hausse par rapport à 2025, avec des progressions dans les concessions, les services à l’énergie et la construction, et un cash-flow libre estimé autour de 6 milliards d’euros en première approche, sous réserve d’un niveau d’activité et d’un cadre fiscal inchangé.
Expected EBITDA: La direction prévoit une nouvelle progression en 2026, sans chiffre précis communiqué.
Expected net income: La direction anticipe une progression du résultat net part du Groupe en 2026, sous réserve d’un exercice stabilisé.
Management commentary: La direction affirme sa discipline financière et son positionnement sur les trois métiers, avec un accent sur la génération de cash-flow et la création de valeur.
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