Vinci's Stock Crosses Above a Key Technical Threshold at 129.20 Euros
Vinci's stock significantly advanced this Tuesday, March 31, trading at 129.20 euros at midday, marking a 2.09% increase from the previous day's close of 126.55 euros. This rebound occurs as the CAC 40 progresses by 0.70% during the session, reaching 7,826.63 points amid a tense geopolitical context characterized by a surge in oil prices beyond 115 dollars a barrel.
By advancing to 129.20 euros, Vinci has crossed above its 50-day moving average at 128.99 euros, as well as its 20-day moving average at 128.80 euros. This simultaneous crossing is a notable technical signal, especially since the stock is already well above its 200-day moving average at 122.64 euros, which indicates a bullish underlying trend. The RSI, an indicator measuring the momentum of a stock over 14 days, stands at 44, a still moderate level suggesting that the stock is not in an overbought zone despite today's movement. The nearest support threshold is at 123.95 euros, while major resistance lies at 142.35 euros, leaving significant room for progression if the rebound is to continue. Over the last seven days, the stock has gained 2.01%, and 7.26% over three months.
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Today's session takes place in an environment marked by high volatility on global markets. The VIX, a barometer of market nervousness, was at 31.05 points at the end of last week, a level considered extremely stressful. The surge in Brent crude to 115 dollars, following military escalation in the Middle East involving the Houthis and the deployment of American reinforcements, weighs on energy costs for all industrial sectors. For a group like Vinci, whose activities span highway concessions, energy, and construction, the potential impact of a sustained increase in oil prices remains a factor to monitor, both in terms of operational costs and infrastructure usage. Within the SBF 120, which is up 0.75% in session, other industrial stocks show more modest gains: Ferrovial is up 0.80% and Schneider Electric advances by 0.59%. Vinci's financial calendar includes a general meeting on April 14, followed by the publication of quarterly information on April 23. These two events will provide updated visibility on the activity of the first quarter and the group's strategy in an uncertain macroeconomic context.
VINCI a réalisé en 2025 une performance en hausse. La progression du chiffre d’affaires s’est accompagnée d’une nouvelle amélioration des résultats opérationnels.
Chiffre d’affaires 2025 de 74,6 milliards d’euros; EBITDA 13,5 milliards; résultat net part du Groupe 4,9 milliards; cash-flow libre 7,0 milliards; endettement net en baisse; dividende proposé 5,00 euros par action; perspectives 2026 positives.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires en 2026 est attendu en hausse par rapport à 2025, avec des progressions dans les concessions, les services à l’énergie et la construction, et un cash-flow libre estimé autour de 6 milliards d’euros en première approche, sous réserve d’un niveau d’activité et d’un cadre fiscal inchangé.
Expected EBITDA: La direction prévoit une nouvelle progression en 2026, sans chiffre précis communiqué.
Expected net income: La direction anticipe une progression du résultat net part du Groupe en 2026, sous réserve d’un exercice stabilisé.
Management commentary: La direction affirme sa discipline financière et son positionnement sur les trois métiers, avec un accent sur la génération de cash-flow et la création de valeur.
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