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Worldline Stock: 3.68% Rebound After Hitting a New Historical Low


Worldline Stock: 3.68% Rebound After Hitting a New Historical Low

The stock of the payment solutions group has risen by 3.68% this Friday morning, reaching €2.34, while the CAC 40 has fallen by 0.78%. This technical rebound comes after a challenging session where the stock had fallen by 6.77% to €2.257, marking a new historical low. Over the week, the depreciation is close to 18%, and the annual performance shows a decline of 62.87%, which is over 71 percentage points below the Paris index. Trading volume remains moderate with 0.73% of the capital traded, indicating cautious investor participation despite the morning recovery. The stock is now just above its immediate support at €2.26, a level tested the previous day and which constitutes a critical short-term threshold. The RSI, positioned at 40, reflects a situation that is neither oversold nor overbought, leaving room for movement in both directions without a decisive signal. The gap with the moving averages remains significant: the price is 16% below the 50-day average (€2.79) and 53% below the 200-day average (€4.93), confirming the depth of the structural bearish trend.

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The technical environment remains fragile despite today's rebound. The MACD, a momentum indicator that compares two exponential moving averages, remains in negative territory with a main line at -0.08 and a histogram at -0.07, signaling a persistent bearish momentum even though the gap with the signal line (-0.01) suggests a possible weakening of selling pressure. Monthly volatility, measured at 20.84%, remains at a high level, characteristic of turbulent phases where daily fluctuations can be significant in either direction. The recent context sheds light on this nervousness. On October 9, Morgan Stanley downgraded its rating from 'Equal-weight' to 'Underweight' and lowered its price target from €3.80 to €1.80, considering the consensus too optimistic, particularly regarding free cash flow. Meanwhile, significant movements in capital were recorded: Goldman Sachs increased its stake above 10% on October 10, while BlackRock fluctuated around 5% between October 9 and 10. The publication of the third-quarter revenue, expected on October 21 at 6:00 PM, and the investor day scheduled for November 6 are the next events closely watched by the market.



Sector Services financiers Services de traitement des transactions


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Le chiffre d'affaires du troisième trimestre a été conforme à nos attentes... Nous confirmons donc nos prévisions pour 2025.
  • T3 conforme aux attentes avec -0,8 % organique ; resserrement de la guidance 2025 (baisse organique 1-4 %) ; EBE ajusté attendu 830-855m€ ; processus de cessions en cours (Mobilité & Services Web Transactionnels, activités nord-américaines) ; revues externes du portefeuille HBR et du cadre de conformité finalisées.
Risks mentioned
  • Baisse organique du chiffre d'affaires (guidance 2025 -1 % à -4 %)
  • Opérationnalisation inégale du cadre de conformité FCC au sein des entités
  • Portefeuille de commerçants à haut risque nécessitant surveillance continue
  • Hausse des coûts de financement impactant le cash-flow
Opportunities identified
  • Cessions d'actifs stratégiques (valorisation Mobilité 400m€ +10m€ conditionnels ; Nord-Amérique 70m€) pour simplifier le périmètre
  • Montée en puissance du nouveau management et simplification organisationnelle
  • Croissance des solutions SoftPOS et terminaux de nouvelle génération
  • Partenariats stratégiques (Yeepay, Outpayce) et contrats clients majeurs (RDG, Garanti Bank, grands groupes hôteliers)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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