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Abivax Shares Cool Down After a 1,680% Surge in One Year

The French biotech consolidates during the session, just days after securing its financing in the United States. The stock remains technically overheated following a historic surge over the past week, as Oddo BHF has just raised its price target.


Abivax Shares Cool Down After a 1,680% Surge in One Year

A Pullback Following a 50% Surge Over the Week

Abivax shares are down 2.95% at €125.10, ranking among the steepest declines in the SBF 120. The pullback is modest compared to recent performance: the stock still shows a gain of over 50% for the week and 42% for the month, which is insignificant compared to the 1,680% increase recorded over the year. The Paris session is nevertheless part of a well-oriented market, with the CAC 40 up by 0.5% and the SBF 120 rising by 0.44%. The biotech announced yesterday the completion of its public ADS offering on Wall Street, bringing the gross proceeds to $920 million after the full exercise of the over-allotment option. The operation secures the group's financing until 2029, as the company prepares to file its marketing authorization application in the United States, scheduled for later this year according to the June 29 communication. The price appreciates 32.23% above its MM20 and 27.74% above its MM50, a gap that illustrates the magnitude of the movement in recent sessions. The RSI at 69 is at the threshold of overbought, consistent with the calm observed today.

Oddo BHF Raises Target to €141 After U.S. Fundraising

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Oddo BHF yesterday raised its price target to €141 from €120 previously, while maintaining its 'outperform' rating. The new target offers a theoretical potential of about 13% compared to the current price. This revision adds to that of Stifel at the beginning of last week, following the positive clinical data presented on June 30 on the ABTECT maintenance trial in ulcerative colitis. According to reviewed statements, four funds cumulatively hold 5.07% of the capital sold short, a level that reflects significant bearish exposure by institutional investors. The bearish bet has slightly eased over thirty days (-0.29 point), suggesting that some short sellers may have reduced their exposure as the stock soared. This high level deserves attention in the coming weeks, without drawing unequivocal conclusions as the magnitude of the recent rebound complicates usual interpretations. The resistance threshold identified at €136 constitutes the next technical marker observable in the data.



Sector Santé · Biotechnologies · Vaccins et laboratoires de recherche Biotechnologie


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Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Trésorerie et équivalents de trésorerie de 589,7 millions d'euros au 30/09/2025 ; perte nette de 254,1 millions d'euros sur les neuf mois ; produit net d'ADS d'environ 700,3 millions de dollars (?597,2 M€) en juillet 2025 ; position financière nette de 543,3 millions d'euros ; autonomie financière attendue jusqu'au T4 2027. Hausse significative des dépenses R&D et des charges G&A.
Risks mentioned
  • Risques inhérents à la recherche et au développement clinique
  • Risque lié aux décisions des autorités réglementaires (FDA, EMA)
  • Risque de disponibilité insuffisante de fonds pour couvrir les dépenses d'exploitation futures
  • Obstacles potentiels au développement clinique et pharmaceutique (données précliniques, CMC, toxicologie, etc.)
Opportunities identified
  • Avancement des essais de phase 3 d'Obefazimod en rectocolite hémorragique
  • Présentations 'late-breaking' et résultats favorables communiqués lors de congrès scientifiques
  • Produit net élevé de l'offre d'ADS prolongeant l'autonomie financière jusqu'au T4 2027

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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