Air France-KLM Share: After -18% Over the Quarter, the Stock Rebounds in Oversold Territory
The Franco-Dutch airline group is recovering mid-session, following a series of declines that left it below all of its moving averages. The movement occurs in a slightly upward-oriented Paris market, as a price target has just been lowered by a brokerage firm.
A 1.3% Rebound That Only Partially Offsets the Quarterly Decline
Air France-KLM gains 1.3% to €10.55, near its support level at €10.41, which corresponds to the previous day's close. This increase barely mitigates the 17.8% retreat over three months, and the stock remains below its 20-day moving average (€11.31, representing a 6.8% gap) as well as below its 200-day moving average (€11.26). The RSI at 30 reflects the exhaustion of selling pressure during the period: the stock has lost 5.8% over the week, placing it in an oversold configuration.
The group is advancing somewhat slower than its comparable peers today, Airbus (+1%) and ADP (+1.4%), which declined by approximately 1.4% and 1.7% over one month. The stock ranks in the top fifth of the SBF 120 (+0.24%), and Brent crude is falling 2.2% to $103.71 per barrel, in a context of easing energy prices.
JP Morgan Lowers Its Target to €14.50 While CIC Maintains €13
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According to analyst opinions, JP Morgan reduced its price target on Wednesday from €16.00 to €14.50, while maintaining its overweight rating, representing an upside potential of nearly 38% relative to the current price. CIC Market Solutions, for its part, confirmed today its hold opinion, with an unchanged target of €13.00. According to the consensus of surveyed analysts, the stock is trading at approximately 3 times the earnings of the current fiscal year.
The group had indicated, when publishing H1 2026 results on July 30, a cautious approach, with revised prospects in terms of capacity in an environment deemed particularly volatile. The next technical support level to monitor is at €10.41.
Approche agile ; perspectives 2026 révisées en termes de capacité ; environnement particulièrement volatil
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: La facture carburant attendue devrait atteindre 8,9 milliards de dollars US sur l'exercice 2026
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