At the top of the CAC 40, AXA share gains 2% following a broken support level
After a series of difficult trading sessions, the Paris-based insurer is making a strong recovery on Tuesday and ranks among the best performers of the CAC 40. The rebound occurs in a Paris market that is also well-oriented, while French yields remain under pressure.
A rebound that leaves the share below its 20 and 50-day moving averages
AXA share gains 2.11% to €43.04 during the session, compared to €42.15 the previous day, and ranks ninth among CAC 40 gainers, which advanced 0.77%. The share nevertheless remains below its 20-day MA at €43.48 (gap of 1.01%) and its 50-day MA at €44.02 (gap of 2.23%), while it holds above its 200-day MA at €41.41 €. The decline of 2.14% over one week is therefore not erased, all the more as the RSI at 39 remains in a neutral zone.
On September 30, the share had broken through its support at €42.92, before gaining ground. The next technical level is the resistance at €45.06.
The 2027-2029 plan and first-half results underpin the fundamental reading
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Upon publication of its first-half 2026 results on July 31, management stated it was on track to achieve the objectives of the Unlock the Future plan. The group then unveiled its 2027-2029 roadmap in mid-September, with a distribution rate maintained at 75% of operating earnings per share and approximately €25 billion in cumulative organic cash remittances over the period. The bond market remains in the background: the 10-year OAT is at 4.90% according to the Banque de France reading of October 2, with a spread of 1.47 points over the Bund.
we expect underlying earnings of circa. Euro 8.6 billion with underlying EPS growth at the top end of the target range
Risks mentioned
Softening market conditions in large commercial P&C
Natural catastrophe exposure with normalized Nat Cat load of 4.5 points of combined ratio
Interest rate sensitivity with -50bp interest rates shock expected to result in -1pt impact in Solvency II ratio
Opportunities identified
Growth in Life & Savings segment driven by ageing populations and pressure on existing systems
Expansion in direct distribution channel with rising demand for affordable insurance and digital experiences
Deployment of AI across value chain with expected annual recurring benefits of €500-700m (pre-tax) by 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 500 millions d'euros
Expected net income: 8 600 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
