AXA Shares Gain 2.65% and Break Through Key Technical Threshold at 40 Euros
The stock of the French insurer is trading at 40.28 euros this Wednesday, marking a gain of 2.65% compared to the previous day's close. This increase is part of a general upward trend on the Paris stock exchange, with the CAC 40 up 2.08% during the session. Over the past seven days, AXA has seen a rebound of 6.28%, following several sessions impacted by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
AXA's stock price has significantly surpassed its 50-day moving average, which stands at 38.67 euros, and has also crossed its 200-day moving average at 39.86 euros, signaling a favorable technical indicator. At 40.28 euros, the stock is now trading in the upper part of its Bollinger Bands, with the upper band at 39.31 euros, indicating a strong buying impulse this Wednesday. The RSI, at 57, remains outside the overbought zone, allowing room for further growth before reaching tension levels. The next identifiable resistance is at 41.46 euros. A close above the 40 euro threshold would confirm the recovery initiated in recent days, after a three-month decline of 1.66%. The major support remains at 37.48 euros, a level not tested during the recent correction phase.
Sector-Wide Movement Supports AXA's Progress
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AXA's progress is part of a broader sectoral movement. BNP Paribas is up 5.10% in the session, while ING Groep has advanced 4.55%, indicating a significant catch-up among European financial stocks. The SBF 120 is up 2.10%, confirming the magnitude of the rebound across the entire Paris stock market this Wednesday. This surge occurs as volatility remains high. The VIX, an index of market stress in the U.S., stood at 31.05 points at the close of Friday, March 27, up 13.16% for the session, reflecting ongoing nervousness. The surge in Brent crude to over 115 dollars last Monday, triggered by military escalation in the Middle East with the entry into war of the Houthis and the deployment of additional U.S. troops, continues to weigh on the global environment. For AXA, whose general meeting is scheduled for April 30, this catch-up session has not yet offset the quarterly decline, with the three-month performance still slightly negative at -1.66%.
we expect underlying earnings of circa. Euro 8.6 billion with underlying EPS growth at the top end of the target range
Risks mentioned
Softening market conditions in large commercial P&C
Natural catastrophe exposure with normalized Nat Cat load of 4.5 points of combined ratio
Interest rate sensitivity with -50bp interest rates shock expected to result in -1pt impact in Solvency II ratio
Opportunities identified
Growth in Life & Savings segment driven by ageing populations and pressure on existing systems
Expansion in direct distribution channel with rising demand for affordable insurance and digital experiences
Deployment of AI across value chain with expected annual recurring benefits of €500-700m (pre-tax) by 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 500 millions d'euros
Expected net income: 8 600 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.