Carrefour Shares Gain 2.38% Midday Despite Analyst Revisions
At midday on Wednesday, February 4, 2026, Carrefour's stock has risen by 2.38% to €14.65. This increase is part of a positive weekly momentum of 6.01%, driven by renewed investor interest. The French retailer now shows a three-month performance of 13.83%.
Today's rebound occurs as several financial institutions have revised their forecasts for the stock in recent weeks. Jefferies downgraded its recommendation from 'buy' to 'hold' on January 30, while reducing its price target from €14.50 to €14.00. A week earlier, Goldman Sachs also adjusted its target, lowering it from €16.00 to €15.00, though it did not change its neutral advice on the stock. These revisions reflect increased caution among analysts about the retailer's prospects in an uncertain consumption environment. Despite these adjustments, the current price of €14.65 remains slightly above Jefferies' revised target, while still offering about a 2.4% upside potential compared to Goldman Sachs' target.
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From a technical standpoint, Carrefour shows encouraging signs after several sessions of gains. The crossing of the 50-day moving average, positioned at €13.88, confirms a short-term bullish momentum. The RSI stands at 65, indicating a resurgence of interest without reaching overbought levels, thus leaving room for further buying activity. The stock is now very close to its technical resistance at €14.82, a key level whose breach could pave the way for new gains. The upcoming release of the 2025 annual results on February 17 will be a major catalyst in determining the medium-term trend. Investors will particularly focus on the evolution of the retail giant's margins in a persistently competitive environment.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.