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Last updated : 01/10/2026 - 14h20
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Covivio share falls to its lowest level since 2024, at €43.32

The diversified real estate company declined sharply this Thursday, touching an unprecedented level since 2024 as the Paris market comes under pressure from record tension on French debt. The decline is part of a downward trend that has notably accelerated over several weeks.


Covivio share falls to its lowest level since 2024, at €43.32

A two-year low recorded during trading amid French rates at their highest since 2008

Covivio lost 3.85% to €43.42 during trading and touched €43.32 in the morning, its lowest level since 2024. The previous intraday floor at €43.36, established that same year, has now been breached downward. This movement occurs in a context of the Paris market under strong pressure: the yield on the 10-year OAT reached 4.86% this Thursday, its highest level since July 28, 2008, while the interest rate spread between France and Germany is approaching 1.30 percentage points, its highest since 2012.

For a real estate company whose assets—offices, residential, hospitality—are valued by discounted cash flow analysis, the rise in sovereign rates mechanically increases the cost of capital. The CAC 40 fell 1.35% and the SBF 120 declined 1.38% during trading, with Covivio posting a much sharper decline than the index in this climate.

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Covivio's RSI has fallen to 19, an extreme oversold level rarely reached, while the share is trading well below its three moving averages: it stands 8.38% below the 20-day MA (€47.39), 13.54% below the 50-day MA (€50.22) and 19.29% below the 200-day MA (€53.80). These disparities reflect the magnitude of the correction undertaken since the peak at the beginning of this year, when the share had approached €60 in April 2026 according to available records. Over one month, the decline reaches 13.33%; over three months, it exceeds 19%. The nearest resistance is far above, at €51.90, or more than 19% above the current price.

When publishing the first half 2026 results (August 4, 2026), the company had confirmed its outlook for the current fiscal year and highlighted an improvement in office occupancy rates to 95.6%, as well as organic growth of +2.2%. These factors have not been sufficient to halt the share's decline since then, in an environment of rates structurally unfavorable to real estate companies. According to analyst consensus, the share is trading at approximately 8.8 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year.



Sector Foncières / REITs › Immobilier commercial / foncières


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 471 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 471 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: -52,5 %
  • EBITDA margin: 31,6 %
  • Net income: 257,8 millions d'euros
  • 9 440 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • Confirmation des perspectives 2026
Risks mentioned
  • Impact de l'indemnité CB21 pleinement perçue en H1 2025, non récurrente en 2026
  • Baisse des revenus en Grand Paris (hors Paris) de -32,2% en 100%
  • Vacances pour redéveloppement, notamment Louvre et étages supérieurs de CB21
Opportunities identified
  • Amélioration du taux d'occupation des bureaux à 95,6%, en hausse par rapport à fin 2025
  • Hausse des loyers Italie Bureaux (+8,9%) portée par de nouvelles signatures et indemnités de départ anticipé
  • Croissance organique like-for-like de +2,2% portée par l'indexation et les hausses locatives
Outlook / guidance
  • Management commentary: « Covivio is therefore targeting around +4% growth in 2026 recurring net result (adjusted EPRA Earnings) per share. »

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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