The Rafale manufacturer rebounds during the session in a well-oriented Paris market. The share price recovers its 20-day moving average but remains below its long-term averages and ranks among the strongest gainers on the SBF 120. This recovery comes after a decline at the beginning of the month but is part of a positive performance over the week.
A 2.05% Rebound That Recovers the 20-Day Moving Average But Remains Below Long-Term Averages
Dassault Aviation gains 2.05% to €289 during the session, while the CAC 40 rises 0.58% and the SBF 120 rises 0.62%. The share ranks in the top half of the index table, without appearing among the day's strongest gainers. This renewed activity follows the slide at the beginning of the month: The share lost 2.5% on October 6, while over three months it has accumulated a gain of 1.9%. The share price rises above its 20-day moving average (€286.70, a difference of 0.8%), but remains below the 50-day moving average at €292.93 and the 200-day moving average at €306.44.
The gap with the latter reaches 5.69%. The share trades above its support level of €275.40, below the resistance level of €292.60, approximately 1.2% away from the current price. Defense and aerospace equities listed in Paris are moving in the same direction: Thales gains 1.45% and Safran 1.12%. Over the month, the trend remains mixed, with Thales declining 2.78% and Safran 1.65%, while Dassault Aviation gains 3.66%.
A Sustained Pace of Industrial News and Rising Rafale Deliveries in the First Half
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On the industrial front, the group presented on October 7 advances in its Vortex space aircraft at the Next Space 2026 conference. On September 24, it signed an agreement with the AED Portugal cluster as part of the Rafale campaign for the renewal of the Portuguese F-16 fleet. Two days earlier, it had announced flight tests of AI algorithms on the aircraft. During the publication of first-half 2026 results on July 22, the group delivered 12 Rafales (10 for export and 2 for France), compared to 7 a year earlier, with 23 Falcons delivered.
It also noted a slightly declining order book at €45.4 billion, compared to €46.6 billion, as well as the halt of the SCAF program. The group also repurchased €153 million in shares over twelve months, representing 0.7% of its market capitalization. The next level to watch on the chart is the resistance level of €292.60, close to the 50-day moving average at €292.93.
SectorAéronautique et Défense›Aéronautique / spatiale
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 45,7 %
Net income: 361,6 millions d'euros
-10 099 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
La guidance 2026 est inchangée : chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse
Risks mentioned
Carnet de commandes en léger repli (45,4 Md€ vs 46,6 Md€) malgré la livraison de 23 Falcon au S1 2026
Arrêt du programme SCAF/NGF en coopération franco-allemande, avec alternative à définir
Réduction des prises de commandes Défense (1 024 M€ vs 7 172 M€) liée à l'absence de nouvelle grande commande Rafale
Opportunities identified
Accélération de la livraison de Rafale Export : 12 Rafale livrées au S1 2026 (10 Export + 2 France) vs 7 au S1 2025
Négociation pour contrat de 114 Rafale avec l'Inde (Decision d'entrer en négociation gré à gré)
Programme Falcon 10X en phase d'essais en vol depuis juin 2026, entrée en service prévue 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8 500 millions d'euros
Management commentary: chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse par rapport à celui de 2025, classe 8,5 milliards d'euros (dont la livraison de 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale)
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
