Edenred Stock Breaks Resistance at €23.36 Despite 10 Short Sellers
Edenred shares continue their recovery that began several weeks ago, following a significantly bullish CAC 40. The stock extends its favorable technical momentum, even as short sellers remain positioned on the case.
Edenred Breaks Through Its €23.36 Resistance and Strengthens Its Technical Recovery
Edenred shares gain 1.84% to €23.79 during the session, with the SBF 120 up by 1.12%. The stock breaks through its identified resistance at €23.36 and records a weekly gain of 6.68%, and more than 21% over three months. However, its performance over one year remains negative, at -12.44%. The movement is supported by a tense technical setup: the price is 9.48% above the 20-day moving average (€21.73) and nearly 19% above the 50-day moving average (€19.96). The RSI at 72 enters an overbought zone, signaling a strong buying dynamic since the rebound that began in mid-May after testing €20.86. The breakthrough at €23.36 extends the bullish sequence documented during the surpassing of €22.07 on May 21.
A Still Prominent Bearish Bet on the Capital Despite the Stock's Rebound
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Ten funds cumulatively hold 9.72% of the capital sold short according to reviewed declarations, a notably high level for an SBF 120 stock. The position has increased by 0.40 points over thirty days (from 9.32% a month ago), indicating a maintenance or slight strengthening of bearish bets even as the share price appreciates. This configuration warrants attention but does not yet signal a sudden acceleration: institutional players remain convinced of a potential decline or seek to cover exposure, but the pace of accumulation remains moderate. The continuation of the current rally could, however, expose these positions to a technical buy-back movement if the bullish dynamic continues. In the short term, the €23.36 zone, now surpassed, serves as the first technical reference monitored.
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Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré
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