Edenred sharply accelerates during the session and takes the lead in the SBF 120, in a balanced Parisian market. The employee payment solutions specialist continues a recovery that began in the spring, with a new technical breakthrough achieved during the session. Short positions continue to deflate in the case.
A Breakthrough at €24.23 Propels the Share to the Top of the SBF 120
Edenred shares gain 4.62% to €24.66, marking the highest rise in the SBF 120 during the session. The share broke through its €24.23 resistance earlier in the day and has maintained it, extending a momentum already established with gains of 18.73% over one month and 33.77% over three months. This movement is part of a broader recovery that began in mid-June, notably driven by the confirmation of exploratory approaches by investment funds. The share price is now above its three moving averages, with a gap of 8.73% from the MM20 (€22.68) and 22.87% from the MM200 (€20.07), indicating a consolidated upward trend in the medium term. The RSI at 58 remains in a neutral zone, allowing the share some room for appreciation before entering an overbought configuration.
A Sharp Decline in Bearish Bets Over Thirty Days, in a Balanced Market
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The configuration of the case has significantly evolved on the short sellers' side. According to the statements reviewed, six funds accumulate a net short position of 4.91% of the capital, down 3.97 points in one month (compared to 8.88% thirty days ago). This contraction reflects a gradual covering of bearish bets, as the share continues its upward sessions since the mid-June surge linked to buyout rumors. However, the movement should be read with caution: the total remains above 4% of the capital, which shows a caution still present on the case, without reflecting a complete shift in sentiment. Over twelve months, the performance is still down by 5.88%, as the share has not yet erased the broader decline accumulated since 2025. The crossing of the €24.23 resistance now marks the next reference threshold to watch for the continuation of the movement, in a context of balanced Parisian indices and a VIX rising to 16.42 amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
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Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
