Gecina shares fall, among the largest declines in the SBF 120
The Paris-based property company is falling in an almost stable market, just as a major German bank significantly lowers its target price. The stock remains within the range of its moving averages, following a series of leases signed in recent weeks.
Deutsche Bank cuts its target from €90 to €75 and maintains a buy rating
The stock loses 1.68% to €64.25, while the analyst consensus recorded today Deutsche Bank's revision: the price target falls from €90 to €75, while the rating remains a buy. This target leaves a potential upside of about 17% compared with the current price of €64.25.
Gecina falls 1.68% while the SBF 120 drops 0.1%, placing the stock among the largest decliners in the index.
Over three months, the stock has already declined 14.28%, compared with a gain of 8.17% over one month. This monthly rebound was notably supported by the October 14 publication: 140,000 m² of offices signed over nine months and a confirmed recurring net profit target of €6.70 to €6.75 per share.
The 50-day moving average at €64.56 holds the decline, the 200-day moving average remains far away
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Today's decline brings the price back to its 50-day moving average (MA50), at €64.56, a gap of only 0.48%. The stock remains 2.20% above its 20-day moving average (MA20), but 9.48% below its 200-day moving average (MA200) at €70.98, which outlines a medium-term configuration still tilted to the downside.
Reported net short positions reach 3.42% of the share capital, spread across four funds, up 1.51 points over thirty days: selling pressure is increasing significantly, without allowing a conclusion as to these market participants' intentions.
The stock trades at about 9.6 times expected earnings for the current fiscal year, according to the analyst consensus compiled. The resistance level at €65.80 is now just above the price, the nearest support being at €59.35.
Nous restons concentrés sur notre objectif : délivrer de la croissance à partir de 2028, aujourd'hui comme sur le long terme.
Risks mentioned
Environnement de taux plus élevés qui devrait continuer à peser sur le marché à court et moyen termes
Ralentissement de l'indexation des loyers à mesure que le recul de l'inflation de 2025 se répercute progressivement
Réversion des loyers pesant mécaniquement sur les niveaux dans les zones non-centrales (Core Croissant Ouest à 79 % d'occupation)
Opportunities identified
Sécurisation de la croissance à partir de 2028 via le pipeline de développement financé par les cessions d'actifs matures
Accélération des commercialisations avec 140 000 m² signés en 9 mois (meilleure performance en 10 ans)
Polarisation du marché favorable aux actifs prime avec loyers en hausse de +11,0 % sur les renouvellements en zones centrales
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
